Case study

FIEMIND

Fiem Industries

Screens attractive1y model +26.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Fiem Industries (FIEMIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is FIEMIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Fiem Industries (FIEMIND) trades at ₹2,311,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100.

On the numbers, Fiem Industries (FIEMIND) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.8× earnings, ROE of 22.7%, a 74% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

FIEMIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,078 Cr
Current price
₹2,311
P/E ratio
23.8×
P/B ratio
5.00×
Book value
₹462
Dividend yield
1.73%
ROCE
29.4%
ROE
22.7%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is FIEMIND overvalued? FIEMIND P/E vs its sector

FIEMIND's P/E of 23.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.73% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

FIEMIND P/E
23.8×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
FIEMIND div yield
1.73%
Peer median yield
1.67%

FIEMIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of FIEMIND history (30%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
FIEMIND 2027₹1,847₹2,888₹4,588+26%
FIEMIND 2028₹1,934₹3,639₹6,894+59%
FIEMIND 2029₹2,129₹4,609₹10,083+102%
FIEMIND 2030₹2,401₹5,837₹14,515+155%
FIEMIND 2031₹2,783₹7,410₹20,108+224%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability FIEMIND goes up, or doubles?

74%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
94%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
74%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,573 within 5 years

The bull case for FIEMIND

  • A 23.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • High return on equity (22.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (29.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 74% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,888 (+26%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹10,083.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,129.

FIEMIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years FIEMIND compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,847₹4,588, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

FIEMIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
26.3%
80% range₹1,847–₹4,588
P(price ↑)74%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
101.6%
80% range₹2,129–₹10,083
P(price ↑)88%
P(price 2×)51%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
224.0%
80% range₹2,783–₹20,108
P(price ↑)94%
P(price 2×)74%

FIEMIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
FIEMIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds FIEMIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the FIEMIND price target & forecast page.

FIEMIND Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. FIEMIND scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

FIEMIND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FIEMIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.1%3.1×
DhanCHEAPEST32.1%3.1×

Compare every broker on the FIEMIND MTF page.

FIEMIND vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
FIEMIND (this stock)23.8×1.73%₹6,078 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Fiem Industries: sector, index & market-cap context

Fiem Industries (FIEMIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,078 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the FIEMIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Fiem Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

FIEMIND analysis, FAQs

Is Fiem Industries (FIEMIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Fiem Industries (FIEMIND) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.8× earnings, ROE of 22.7%, a 74% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is FIEMIND overvalued or undervalued?

FIEMIND trades at 23.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the FIEMIND share price target for 2031?

FIEMIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹7,410, with an 80% range of ₹2,783₹20,108 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability FIEMIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of FIEMIND reaching ₹4,573 (2×) within 5 years is 74%.

What is the bull case for FIEMIND?

A 23.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (22.7%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (29.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in FIEMIND?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on FIEMIND