FINCABLES
Finolex Cables
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Finolex Cables (FINCABLES) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is FINCABLES a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Finolex Cables (FINCABLES) trades at ₹1,190,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, Finolex Cables (FINCABLES) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 25.5× earnings, ROE of 12.3%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
FINCABLES fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is FINCABLES overvalued? FINCABLES P/E vs its sector
FINCABLES's P/E of 25.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.67% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
FINCABLES share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of FINCABLES history (-17%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FINCABLES 2027 | ₹555 | ₹916 | ₹1,516 | -21% |
| FINCABLES 2028 | ₹357 | ₹716 | ₹1,455 | -38% |
| FINCABLES 2029 | ₹240 | ₹566 | ₹1,348 | -51% |
| FINCABLES 2030 | ₹163 | ₹444 | ₹1,197 | -62% |
| FINCABLES 2031 | ₹116 | ₹349 | ₹1,074 | -70% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability FINCABLES goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for FINCABLES
- A healthy 12.3% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,348.
The bear case & risks
- At 25.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹240.
FINCABLES volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years FINCABLES compounded at -17%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹555–₹1,516, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
FINCABLES price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
FINCABLES price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds FINCABLES hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the FINCABLES price target & forecast page.
FINCABLES Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. FINCABLES scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
FINCABLES MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FINCABLES with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the FINCABLES MTF page.
FINCABLES vs peers,sector comparison
About Finolex Cables: sector, index & market-cap context
Finolex Cables (FINCABLES) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,218 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the FINCABLES Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Finolex Cables's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
FINCABLES analysis, FAQs
Is Finolex Cables (FINCABLES) a good buy?
On the numbers, Finolex Cables (FINCABLES) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing premium at 25.5× earnings, ROE of 12.3%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is FINCABLES overvalued or undervalued?
FINCABLES trades at 25.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the FINCABLES share price target for 2031?
FINCABLES's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹349, with an 80% range of ₹116–₹1,074 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability FINCABLES doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of FINCABLES reaching ₹2,329 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for FINCABLES?
A healthy 12.3% return on equity.
What are the risks in FINCABLES?
At 25.5× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.