Case study

FINEORG

Fine Organic Industries Limited

Mixed signals1y model +7.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

51Score

Fine Organic Industries Limited (FINEORG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is FINEORG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Fine Organic Industries Limited (FINEORG) trades at ₹5,162,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.

On the numbers, Fine Organic Industries Limited (FINEORG) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 36.1× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

FINEORG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹15,827 Cr
Current price
₹5,162
P/E ratio
36.1×
P/B ratio
5.94×
Book value
₹869
Dividend yield
0.21%
ROCE
21.5%
ROE
16.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How FINEORG ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is FINEORG overvalued? FINEORG P/E vs peers

FINEORG trades at 36.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

FINEORG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 7.9y of FINEORG history (23%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
FINEORG 2027₹3,756₹5,566₹8,248+8%
FINEORG 2028₹3,421₹6,002₹10,530+16%
FINEORG 2029₹3,267₹6,471₹12,819+25%
FINEORG 2030₹3,158₹6,978₹15,417+35%
FINEORG 2031₹3,082₹7,524₹18,367+46%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability FINEORG goes up, or doubles?

59%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
71%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹10,324 within 5 years

The bull case for FINEORG

  • FINEORG's return on equity of 16.5% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • FINEORG's return on capital employed of 21.5% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹12,819.

The bear case & risks

  • FINEORG's P/E of 36.1x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3,267.

FINEORG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 7.9 years FINEORG compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,756-₹8,248, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

FINEORG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 7.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.8%
80% range₹3,756-₹8,248
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
25.4%
80% range₹3,267-₹12,819
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
45.8%
80% range₹3,082-₹18,367
P(price ↑)71%
P(price 2×)32%

FINEORG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
FINEORG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds FINEORG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the FINEORG price target & forecast page.

FINEORG Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. FINEORG scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

FINEORG MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FINEORG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.87%3.3×
Groww29.89%3.3×
Dhan30.00%3.3×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money30.63%3.3×
Pocketful30.01%3.3×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST29.87%3.3×
Bajaj Broking31.00%3.2×
Share India29.89%3.3×

Compare every broker on the FINEORG MTF page.

About Fine Organic Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Fine Organic Industries Limited (FINEORG) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹15,827 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the FINEORG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Fine Organic Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

FINEORG analysis, FAQs

Is Fine Organic Industries Limited (FINEORG) a good buy?

On the numbers, Fine Organic Industries Limited (FINEORG) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing premium at 36.1× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is FINEORG overvalued or undervalued?

FINEORG trades at 36.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the FINEORG share price target for 2031?

FINEORG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹7,524, with an 80% range of ₹3,082-₹18,367 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability FINEORG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of FINEORG reaching ₹10,324 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for FINEORG?

FINEORG's return on equity of 16.5% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. FINEORG's return on capital employed of 21.5% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in FINEORG?

FINEORG's P/E of 36.1x is lower than 38% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on FINEORG