Case study

FIRSTCRY

BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD

High-risk on the numbers1y model -52.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD (FIRSTCRY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is FIRSTCRY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD (FIRSTCRY) trades at ₹221,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100.

On the numbers, BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD (FIRSTCRY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 92.5× earnings, ROE of -2.4%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

FIRSTCRY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹11,551 Cr
Current price
₹221
P/E ratio
92.5×
P/B ratio
2.39×
Book value
₹93
ROCE
0.6%
ROE
-2.4%
Piotroski F-Score
2/9

Is FIRSTCRY overvalued? FIRSTCRY P/E vs its sector

FIRSTCRY's P/E of 92.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

FIRSTCRY P/E
92.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

FIRSTCRY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.8y of FIRSTCRY history (-63%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
FIRSTCRY 2027₹54₹102₹193-53%
FIRSTCRY 2028₹20₹48₹119-78%
FIRSTCRY 2029₹8₹23₹68-90%
FIRSTCRY 2030₹3₹10₹38-95%
FIRSTCRY 2031₹1₹5₹21-98%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability FIRSTCRY goes up, or doubles?

7%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
0%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹432 within 5 years

The bull case for FIRSTCRY

  • BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹68.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 92.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹8.

FIRSTCRY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.8 years FIRSTCRY compounded at -63%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹54₹193, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

FIRSTCRY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
52.7%
80% range₹54–₹193
P(price ↑)7%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
89.5%
80% range₹8–₹68
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
97.7%
80% range₹1–₹21
P(price ↑)0%
P(price 2×)0%

FIRSTCRY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
FIRSTCRY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds FIRSTCRY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the FIRSTCRY price target & forecast page.

FIRSTCRY Piotroski F-Score: 2/9, how financially strong is it?

2/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. FIRSTCRY scores 2/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

FIRSTCRY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FIRSTCRY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST36.4%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.4%2.7×
DhanCHEAPEST36.4%2.7×

Compare every broker on the FIRSTCRY MTF page.

FIRSTCRY vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
FIRSTCRY (this stock)92.5×₹11,551 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD (FIRSTCRY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,551 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the FIRSTCRY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

FIRSTCRY analysis, FAQs

Is BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD (FIRSTCRY) a good buy?

On the numbers, BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD (FIRSTCRY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 19/100, weighing expensive at 92.5× earnings, ROE of -2.4%, a 7% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is FIRSTCRY overvalued or undervalued?

FIRSTCRY trades at 92.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the FIRSTCRY share price target for 2031?

FIRSTCRY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹5, with an 80% range of ₹1₹21 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability FIRSTCRY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of FIRSTCRY reaching ₹432 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for FIRSTCRY?

BRAINBEES SOLUTIONS LTD is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in FIRSTCRY?

A rich 92.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 7% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on FIRSTCRY