Case study

FLUOROCHEM

Gujarat Fluorochemicals

Tread carefully1y model +1.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Gujarat Fluorochemicals (FLUOROCHEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is FLUOROCHEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gujarat Fluorochemicals (FLUOROCHEM) trades at ₹3,851,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Gujarat Fluorochemicals (FLUOROCHEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 71.7× earnings, ROE of 7.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

FLUOROCHEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹42,171 Cr
Current price
₹3,851
P/E ratio
71.7×
P/B ratio
5.38×
Book value
₹716
Dividend yield
0.08%
ROCE
9.9%
ROE
7.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is FLUOROCHEM overvalued? FLUOROCHEM P/E vs its sector

FLUOROCHEM's P/E of 71.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.08% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

FLUOROCHEM P/E
71.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
FLUOROCHEM div yield
0.08%
Peer median yield
1.65%

FLUOROCHEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of FLUOROCHEM history (8%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
FLUOROCHEM 2027₹2,577₹3,911₹5,946+2%
FLUOROCHEM 2028₹2,187₹3,970₹7,186+3%
FLUOROCHEM 2029₹1,954₹4,036₹8,384+5%
FLUOROCHEM 2030₹1,788₹4,120₹9,720+7%
FLUOROCHEM 2031₹1,666₹4,214₹10,925+10%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability FLUOROCHEM goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
21%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹7,680 within 5 years

The bull case for FLUOROCHEM

  • Gujarat Fluorochemicals is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹8,384.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 71.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 7.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,954.

FLUOROCHEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years FLUOROCHEM compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,577₹5,946, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

FLUOROCHEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.9%
80% range₹2,577–₹5,946
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.1%
80% range₹1,954–₹8,384
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)13%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
9.7%
80% range₹1,666–₹10,925
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)21%

FLUOROCHEM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
FLUOROCHEM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds FLUOROCHEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the FLUOROCHEM price target & forecast page.

FLUOROCHEM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. FLUOROCHEM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

FLUOROCHEM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FLUOROCHEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST30.4%3.3×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.4%3.3×
DhanCHEAPEST30.4%3.3×

Compare every broker on the FLUOROCHEM MTF page.

FLUOROCHEM vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
FLUOROCHEM (this stock)71.7×0.08%₹42,171 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Gujarat Fluorochemicals: sector, index & market-cap context

Gujarat Fluorochemicals (FLUOROCHEM) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹42,171 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the FLUOROCHEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gujarat Fluorochemicals's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

FLUOROCHEM analysis, FAQs

Is Gujarat Fluorochemicals (FLUOROCHEM) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gujarat Fluorochemicals (FLUOROCHEM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 71.7× earnings, ROE of 7.8%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is FLUOROCHEM overvalued or undervalued?

FLUOROCHEM trades at 71.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the FLUOROCHEM share price target for 2031?

FLUOROCHEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,214, with an 80% range of ₹1,666₹10,925 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability FLUOROCHEM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of FLUOROCHEM reaching ₹7,680 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.

What is the bull case for FLUOROCHEM?

Gujarat Fluorochemicals is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in FLUOROCHEM?

A rich 71.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 7.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.

More on FLUOROCHEM