FMGOETZE
Federal-Mogul Goetze (Ind
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Federal-Mogul Goetze (Ind (FMGOETZE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is FMGOETZE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Federal-Mogul Goetze (Ind (FMGOETZE) trades at ₹474,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, Federal-Mogul Goetze (Ind (FMGOETZE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.5× earnings, ROE of 13.5%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
FMGOETZE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is FMGOETZE overvalued? FMGOETZE P/E vs its sector
FMGOETZE's P/E of 14.5× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers.
FMGOETZE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of FMGOETZE history (0%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FMGOETZE 2027 | ₹258 | ₹421 | ₹698 | -7% |
| FMGOETZE 2028 | ₹196 | ₹388 | ₹786 | -15% |
| FMGOETZE 2029 | ₹158 | ₹364 | ₹857 | -20% |
| FMGOETZE 2030 | ₹130 | ₹339 | ₹908 | -25% |
| FMGOETZE 2031 | ₹106 | ₹315 | ₹955 | -31% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability FMGOETZE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for FMGOETZE
- Trades at just 14.5× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- A healthy 13.5% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (18.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹857.
The bear case & risks
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹158.
FMGOETZE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years FMGOETZE compounded at 0%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹258–₹698, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
FMGOETZE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
FMGOETZE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds FMGOETZE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the FMGOETZE price target & forecast page.
FMGOETZE Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. FMGOETZE scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
FMGOETZE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FMGOETZE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.8% | 3.0× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the FMGOETZE MTF page.
FMGOETZE vs peers,sector comparison
About Federal-Mogul Goetze (Ind: sector, index & market-cap context
Federal-Mogul Goetze (Ind (FMGOETZE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,638 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the FMGOETZE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Federal-Mogul Goetze (Ind's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
FMGOETZE analysis, FAQs
Is Federal-Mogul Goetze (Ind (FMGOETZE) a good buy?
On the numbers, Federal-Mogul Goetze (Ind (FMGOETZE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.5× earnings, ROE of 13.5%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is FMGOETZE overvalued or undervalued?
FMGOETZE trades at 14.5× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the FMGOETZE share price target for 2031?
FMGOETZE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹315, with an 80% range of ₹106–₹955 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability FMGOETZE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of FMGOETZE reaching ₹908 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.
What is the bull case for FMGOETZE?
Trades at just 14.5× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. A healthy 13.5% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in FMGOETZE?
A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.