Case study

FMGOETZE

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited.

Worth a closer look1y model +3.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited. (FMGOETZE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is FMGOETZE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited. (FMGOETZE) trades at ₹492,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited. (FMGOETZE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.0× earnings, ROE of 13.5%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

FMGOETZE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,738 Cr
Current price
₹492
P/E ratio
15.0×
P/B ratio
1.91×
Book value
₹258
ROCE
18.5%
ROE
13.5%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How FMGOETZE ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for FMGOETZE, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is FMGOETZE overvalued? FMGOETZE P/E vs peers

FMGOETZE trades at 15.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

FMGOETZE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of FMGOETZE history (2%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
FMGOETZE 2027₹312₹507₹825+3%
FMGOETZE 2028₹265₹522₹1,029+6%
FMGOETZE 2029₹232₹537₹1,242+9%
FMGOETZE 2030₹207₹553₹1,480+12%
FMGOETZE 2031₹193₹570₹1,684+16%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability FMGOETZE goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹985 within 5 years

The bull case for FMGOETZE

  • FMGOETZE's P/E of 15.0x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • FMGOETZE's return on equity of 13.5% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • FMGOETZE's return on capital employed of 18.5% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,242.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹232.

FMGOETZE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years FMGOETZE compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹312-₹825, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

FMGOETZE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.0%
80% range₹312-₹825
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.2%
80% range₹232-₹1,242
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
15.7%
80% range₹193-₹1,684
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)26%

FMGOETZE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
FMGOETZE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds FMGOETZE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the FMGOETZE price target & forecast page.

FMGOETZE Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. FMGOETZE scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

FMGOETZE MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FMGOETZE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.01%3.0×
Groww40.00%2.5×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money34.03%2.9×
Pocketful33.58%3.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.01%3.0×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India33.08%3.0×

Compare every broker on the FMGOETZE MTF page.

About Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited.: sector, index & market-cap context

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited. (FMGOETZE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,738 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the FMGOETZE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

FMGOETZE analysis, FAQs

Is Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited. (FMGOETZE) a good buy?

On the numbers, Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited. (FMGOETZE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.0× earnings, ROE of 13.5%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is FMGOETZE overvalued or undervalued?

FMGOETZE trades at 15.0× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the FMGOETZE share price target for 2031?

FMGOETZE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹570, with an 80% range of ₹193-₹1,684 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability FMGOETZE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of FMGOETZE reaching ₹985 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for FMGOETZE?

FMGOETZE's P/E of 15.0x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. FMGOETZE's return on equity of 13.5% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. FMGOETZE's return on capital employed of 18.5% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in FMGOETZE?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on FMGOETZE