FOSECOIND
Foseco India Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is FOSECOIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) trades at ₹5,500,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.
On the numbers, Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 42.5× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
FOSECOIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How FOSECOIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- FOSECOIND's market cap of 4,146 Cr ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FOSECOIND's book value of ₹1,375 ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FOSECOIND's promoter holding of 63.5% ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FOSECOIND's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 18.0% ranks in the 54th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- FOSECOIND's 3-year revenue growth of 18.0% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for FOSECOIND, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is FOSECOIND overvalued? FOSECOIND P/E vs peers
FOSECOIND trades at 42.5× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
FOSECOIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of FOSECOIND history (14%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOSECOIND 2027 | ₹3,429 | ₹5,721 | ₹9,545 | +4% |
| FOSECOIND 2028 | ₹2,862 | ₹5,950 | ₹12,371 | +8% |
| FOSECOIND 2029 | ₹2,548 | ₹6,189 | ₹15,029 | +13% |
| FOSECOIND 2030 | ₹2,253 | ₹6,437 | ₹18,387 | +17% |
| FOSECOIND 2031 | ₹2,082 | ₹6,695 | ₹21,523 | +22% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability FOSECOIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for FOSECOIND
- FOSECOIND's return on equity of 12.6% ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹15,029.
The bear case & risks
- FOSECOIND's P/E of 42.5x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,548.
FOSECOIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years FOSECOIND compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,429-₹9,545, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
FOSECOIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
FOSECOIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds FOSECOIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the FOSECOIND price target & forecast page.
FOSECOIND Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. FOSECOIND scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
FOSECOIND MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FOSECOIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 34.20% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 34.04% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 42.00% | 2.4× |
| Share India | 34.17% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the FOSECOIND MTF page.
About Foseco India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,146 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the FOSECOIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Foseco India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
FOSECOIND analysis, FAQs
Is Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, Foseco India Limited (FOSECOIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 42.5× earnings, ROE of 12.6%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is FOSECOIND overvalued or undervalued?
FOSECOIND trades at 42.5× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the FOSECOIND share price target for 2031?
FOSECOIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹6,695, with an 80% range of ₹2,082-₹21,523 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability FOSECOIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of FOSECOIND reaching ₹11,001 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for FOSECOIND?
FOSECOIND's return on equity of 12.6% ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in FOSECOIND?
FOSECOIND's P/E of 42.5x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.