FRACTAL
FRACTAL ANALYTICS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
FRACTAL ANALYTICS LIMITED (FRACTAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is FRACTAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
FRACTAL ANALYTICS LIMITED (FRACTAL) trades at ₹959,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.
On the numbers, FRACTAL ANALYTICS LIMITED (FRACTAL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 54.8× earnings, ROE of 12.2%, a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
FRACTAL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is FRACTAL overvalued? FRACTAL P/E vs its sector
FRACTAL's P/E of 54.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
FRACTAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.3y of FRACTAL history (38%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRACTAL 2027 | ₹623 | ₹1,240 | ₹2,443 | +29% |
| FRACTAL 2028 | ₹583 | ₹1,550 | ₹4,199 | +61% |
| FRACTAL 2029 | ₹600 | ₹1,959 | ₹6,617 | +103% |
| FRACTAL 2030 | ₹631 | ₹2,483 | ₹9,949 | +158% |
| FRACTAL 2031 | ₹659 | ₹3,165 | ₹14,872 | +229% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability FRACTAL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for FRACTAL
- A healthy 12.2% return on equity.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,240 (+29%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,617.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 54.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹600.
FRACTAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.3 years FRACTAL compounded at 38%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹623–₹2,443, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
FRACTAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
FRACTAL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds FRACTAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the FRACTAL price target & forecast page.
FRACTAL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. FRACTAL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
FRACTAL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FRACTAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.2% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.2% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the FRACTAL MTF page.
FRACTAL vs peers,sector comparison
About FRACTAL ANALYTICS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
FRACTAL ANALYTICS LIMITED (FRACTAL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,479 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the FRACTAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of FRACTAL ANALYTICS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
FRACTAL analysis, FAQs
Is FRACTAL ANALYTICS LIMITED (FRACTAL) a good buy?
On the numbers, FRACTAL ANALYTICS LIMITED (FRACTAL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 54.8× earnings, ROE of 12.2%, a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is FRACTAL overvalued or undervalued?
FRACTAL trades at 54.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the FRACTAL share price target for 2031?
FRACTAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,165, with an 80% range of ₹659–₹14,872 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability FRACTAL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of FRACTAL reaching ₹1,926 (2×) within 5 years is 66%.
What is the bull case for FRACTAL?
A healthy 12.2% return on equity. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,240 (+29%).
What are the risks in FRACTAL?
A rich 54.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.