FUSION
Fusion Micro Finance
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Fusion Micro Finance (FUSION) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is FUSION a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Fusion Micro Finance (FUSION) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
FUSION share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of FUSION history (-48%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUSION 2027 | ₹52 | ₹97 | ₹185 | -46% |
| FUSION 2028 | ₹22 | ₹54 | ₹133 | -70% |
| FUSION 2029 | ₹10 | ₹30 | ₹91 | -83% |
| FUSION 2030 | ₹5 | ₹16 | ₹58 | -91% |
| FUSION 2031 | ₹2 | ₹9 | ₹36 | -95% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability FUSION goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for FUSION
- Fusion Micro Finance is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹91.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹10.
FUSION volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years FUSION compounded at -48%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹52–₹185, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
FUSION price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
FUSION price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds FUSION hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the FUSION price target & forecast page.
FUSION MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy FUSION with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.1% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.1% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the FUSION MTF page.
FUSION vs peers,sector comparison
About Fusion Micro Finance: sector, index & market-cap context
Fusion Micro Finance (FUSION) is an NSE-listed company.
How the FUSION Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Fusion Micro Finance's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
FUSION analysis, FAQs
Is Fusion Micro Finance (FUSION) a good buy?
On the numbers, Fusion Micro Finance (FUSION) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 11% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is FUSION overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for FUSION are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the FUSION share price target for 2031?
FUSION's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹9, with an 80% range of ₹2–₹36 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability FUSION doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of FUSION reaching ₹359 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for FUSION?
Fusion Micro Finance is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in FUSION?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 11% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.