GABRIEL
Gabriel India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Gabriel India (GABRIEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GABRIEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Gabriel India (GABRIEL) trades at ₹1,242,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, Gabriel India (GABRIEL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 68.2× earnings, ROE of 20.6%, a 78% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GABRIEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GABRIEL overvalued? GABRIEL P/E vs its sector
GABRIEL's P/E of 68.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.38% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GABRIEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GABRIEL history (51%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GABRIEL 2027 | ₹934 | ₹1,763 | ₹3,358 | +47% |
| GABRIEL 2028 | ₹1,046 | ₹2,600 | ₹6,421 | +117% |
| GABRIEL 2029 | ₹1,265 | ₹3,817 | ₹11,542 | +219% |
| GABRIEL 2030 | ₹1,558 | ₹5,665 | ₹20,219 | +373% |
| GABRIEL 2031 | ₹2,000 | ₹8,389 | ₹35,500 | +601% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GABRIEL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GABRIEL
- High return on equity (20.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (26.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 78% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,763 (+47%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹11,542.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 68.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 13.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,265.
GABRIEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GABRIEL compounded at 51%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹934–₹3,358, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GABRIEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GABRIEL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GABRIEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GABRIEL price target & forecast page.
GABRIEL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GABRIEL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GABRIEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GABRIEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 38.2% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.2% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 38.2% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the GABRIEL MTF page.
GABRIEL vs peers,sector comparison
About Gabriel India: sector, index & market-cap context
Gabriel India (GABRIEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,889 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the GABRIEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gabriel India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GABRIEL analysis, FAQs
Is Gabriel India (GABRIEL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Gabriel India (GABRIEL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 68.2× earnings, ROE of 20.6%, a 78% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GABRIEL overvalued or undervalued?
GABRIEL trades at 68.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GABRIEL share price target for 2031?
GABRIEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹8,389, with an 80% range of ₹2,000–₹35,500 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GABRIEL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GABRIEL reaching ₹2,395 (2×) within 5 years is 87%.
What is the bull case for GABRIEL?
High return on equity (20.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (26.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 78% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,763 (+47%).
What are the risks in GABRIEL?
A rich 68.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 13.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.