Case study

GABRIEL

Gabriel India Limited

Mixed signals1y model -0.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Gabriel India Limited (GABRIEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GABRIEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gabriel India Limited (GABRIEL) trades at ₹1,500,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Gabriel India Limited (GABRIEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 59.8× earnings, ROE of 20.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GABRIEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹21,544 Cr
Current price
₹1,500
P/E ratio
59.8×
P/B ratio
15.74×
Book value
₹95
Dividend yield
0.33%
ROCE
25.6%
ROE
20.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GABRIEL ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is GABRIEL overvalued? GABRIEL P/E vs peers

GABRIEL trades at 59.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GABRIEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GABRIEL history (27%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GABRIEL 2027₹764₹1,458₹2,781-1%
GABRIEL 2028₹578₹1,446₹3,616-2%
GABRIEL 2029₹465₹1,434₹4,428-2%
GABRIEL 2030₹384₹1,423₹5,276-3%
GABRIEL 2031₹329₹1,411₹6,046-4%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GABRIEL goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
49%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,940 within 5 years

The bull case for GABRIEL

  • GABRIEL's return on equity of 20.2% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • GABRIEL's return on capital employed of 25.6% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,428.

The bear case & risks

  • GABRIEL's P/E of 58.7x is lower than 22% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 15.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹465.

GABRIEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GABRIEL compounded at 27%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹764-₹2,781, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GABRIEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.8%
80% range₹764-₹2,781
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹465-₹4,428
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹329-₹6,046
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)26%

GABRIEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GABRIEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GABRIEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GABRIEL price target & forecast page.

GABRIEL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GABRIEL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

GABRIEL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GABRIEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox38.30%2.6×
Zerodha38.27%2.6×
Groww38.32%2.6×
Dhan38.27%2.6×
Kotak Neo38.31%2.6×
Paytm Money38.32%2.6×
PocketfulCHEAPEST38.04%2.6×
Anand Rathi38.27%2.6×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India38.32%2.6×

Compare every broker on the GABRIEL MTF page.

About Gabriel India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Gabriel India Limited (GABRIEL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹21,544 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GABRIEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gabriel India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GABRIEL analysis, FAQs

Is Gabriel India Limited (GABRIEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gabriel India Limited (GABRIEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 59.8× earnings, ROE of 20.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GABRIEL overvalued or undervalued?

GABRIEL trades at 59.8× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GABRIEL share price target for 2031?

GABRIEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,411, with an 80% range of ₹329-₹6,046 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GABRIEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GABRIEL reaching ₹2,940 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for GABRIEL?

GABRIEL's return on equity of 20.2% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. GABRIEL's return on capital employed of 25.6% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GABRIEL?

GABRIEL's P/E of 58.7x is lower than 22% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. A steep 15.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GABRIEL