Case study

GALAXYSURF

Galaxy Surfactants

Tread carefully1y model -18.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Galaxy Surfactants (GALAXYSURF) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GALAXYSURF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Galaxy Surfactants (GALAXYSURF) trades at ₹1,957,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Galaxy Surfactants (GALAXYSURF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of 10.8%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GALAXYSURF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,943 Cr
Current price
₹1,957
P/E ratio
25.1×
P/B ratio
2.53×
Book value
₹774
Dividend yield
1.12%
ROCE
13.5%
ROE
10.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is GALAXYSURF overvalued? GALAXYSURF P/E vs its sector

GALAXYSURF's P/E of 25.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.12% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

GALAXYSURF P/E
25.1×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
GALAXYSURF div yield
1.12%
Peer median yield
1.65%

GALAXYSURF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GALAXYSURF history (-16%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GALAXYSURF 2027₹1,057₹1,581₹2,369-19%
GALAXYSURF 2028₹718₹1,269₹2,282-35%
GALAXYSURF 2029₹512₹1,032₹2,097-47%
GALAXYSURF 2030₹366₹838₹1,915-57%
GALAXYSURF 2031₹272₹676₹1,695-65%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GALAXYSURF goes up, or doubles?

25%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
7%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
1%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,891 within 5 years

The bull case for GALAXYSURF

  • Galaxy Surfactants is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,097.

The bear case & risks

  • At 25.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Return on equity is a soft 10.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹512.

GALAXYSURF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GALAXYSURF compounded at -16%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,057₹2,369, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GALAXYSURF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
18.7%
80% range₹1,057–₹2,369
P(price ↑)25%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
46.9%
80% range₹512–₹2,097
P(price ↑)13%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
65.2%
80% range₹272–₹1,695
P(price ↑)7%
P(price 2×)1%

GALAXYSURF price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GALAXYSURF simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GALAXYSURF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GALAXYSURF price target & forecast page.

GALAXYSURF Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GALAXYSURF scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

GALAXYSURF MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GALAXYSURF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.7%3.4×
DhanCHEAPEST29.7%3.4×

Compare every broker on the GALAXYSURF MTF page.

GALAXYSURF vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GALAXYSURF (this stock)25.1×1.12%₹6,943 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Galaxy Surfactants: sector, index & market-cap context

Galaxy Surfactants (GALAXYSURF) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,943 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the GALAXYSURF Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Galaxy Surfactants's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GALAXYSURF analysis, FAQs

Is Galaxy Surfactants (GALAXYSURF) a good buy?

On the numbers, Galaxy Surfactants (GALAXYSURF) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 25.1× earnings, ROE of 10.8%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GALAXYSURF overvalued or undervalued?

GALAXYSURF trades at 25.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the GALAXYSURF share price target for 2031?

GALAXYSURF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹676, with an 80% range of ₹272₹1,695 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GALAXYSURF doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GALAXYSURF reaching ₹3,891 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.

What is the bull case for GALAXYSURF?

Galaxy Surfactants is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in GALAXYSURF?

At 25.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 10.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on GALAXYSURF