GANDHAR
GANDHAR OIL REFINE IND L
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
GANDHAR OIL REFINE IND L (GANDHAR) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GANDHAR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
GANDHAR OIL REFINE IND L (GANDHAR) trades at ₹176,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, GANDHAR OIL REFINE IND L (GANDHAR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.7× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GANDHAR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GANDHAR overvalued? GANDHAR P/E vs its sector
GANDHAR's P/E of 12.7× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.43% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GANDHAR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GANDHAR history (-8%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GANDHAR 2027 | ₹97 | ₹156 | ₹250 | -14% |
| GANDHAR 2028 | ₹68 | ₹134 | ₹266 | -26% |
| GANDHAR 2029 | ₹50 | ₹115 | ₹268 | -36% |
| GANDHAR 2030 | ₹38 | ₹100 | ₹261 | -45% |
| GANDHAR 2031 | ₹29 | ₹86 | ₹252 | -52% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GANDHAR goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GANDHAR
- Trades at just 12.7× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 1.28×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹268.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 10.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹50.
GANDHAR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GANDHAR compounded at -8%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹97–₹250, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GANDHAR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GANDHAR price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GANDHAR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GANDHAR price target & forecast page.
GANDHAR Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GANDHAR scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GANDHAR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GANDHAR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.3% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the GANDHAR MTF page.
GANDHAR vs peers,sector comparison
About GANDHAR OIL REFINE IND L: sector, index & market-cap context
GANDHAR OIL REFINE IND L (GANDHAR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,721 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GANDHAR Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GANDHAR OIL REFINE IND L's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GANDHAR analysis, FAQs
Is GANDHAR OIL REFINE IND L (GANDHAR) a good buy?
On the numbers, GANDHAR OIL REFINE IND L (GANDHAR) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.7× earnings, ROE of 10.5%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GANDHAR overvalued or undervalued?
GANDHAR trades at 12.7× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the GANDHAR share price target for 2031?
GANDHAR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹86, with an 80% range of ₹29–₹252 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GANDHAR doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GANDHAR reaching ₹361 (2×) within 5 years is 4%.
What is the bull case for GANDHAR?
Trades at just 12.7× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.28×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in GANDHAR?
Return on equity is a soft 10.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.