GANECOS
Ganesha Ecosphere
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Ganesha Ecosphere (GANECOS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GANECOS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Ganesha Ecosphere (GANECOS) trades at ₹921,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100.
On the numbers, Ganesha Ecosphere (GANECOS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100, weighing expensive at 64.6× earnings, ROE of 3.1%, a 26% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GANECOS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GANECOS overvalued? GANECOS P/E vs its sector
GANECOS's P/E of 64.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.49% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GANECOS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GANECOS history (-20%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GANECOS 2027 | ₹370 | ₹684 | ₹1,260 | -26% |
| GANECOS 2028 | ₹213 | ₹503 | ₹1,203 | -46% |
| GANECOS 2029 | ₹128 | ₹366 | ₹1,039 | -61% |
| GANECOS 2030 | ₹79 | ₹270 | ₹907 | -71% |
| GANECOS 2031 | ₹51 | ₹200 | ₹765 | -78% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GANECOS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GANECOS
- Ganesha Ecosphere is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,039.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 64.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 3.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 26% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹128.
GANECOS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GANECOS compounded at -20%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹370–₹1,260, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GANECOS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GANECOS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GANECOS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GANECOS price target & forecast page.
GANECOS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GANECOS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GANECOS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GANECOS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the GANECOS MTF page.
GANECOS vs peers,sector comparison
About Ganesha Ecosphere: sector, index & market-cap context
Ganesha Ecosphere (GANECOS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,468 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GANECOS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ganesha Ecosphere's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GANECOS analysis, FAQs
Is Ganesha Ecosphere (GANECOS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Ganesha Ecosphere (GANECOS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 22/100, weighing expensive at 64.6× earnings, ROE of 3.1%, a 26% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GANECOS overvalued or undervalued?
GANECOS trades at 64.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GANECOS share price target for 2031?
GANECOS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹200, with an 80% range of ₹51–₹765 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GANECOS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GANECOS reaching ₹1,855 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for GANECOS?
Ganesha Ecosphere is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GANECOS?
A rich 64.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 3.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 26% chance of finishing above today's price.