Case study

GANESHHOU

Ganesh Housing\nLimited

Worth a closer look1y model +4.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Ganesh Housing\nLimited (GANESHHOU) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GANESHHOU a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Ganesh Housing\nLimited (GANESHHOU) trades at ₹761,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Ganesh Housing\nLimited (GANESHHOU) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.9× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GANESHHOU fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,344 Cr
Current price
₹761
P/E ratio
23.9×
P/B ratio
2.72×
Book value
₹280
Dividend yield
0.20%
ROCE
18.8%
ROE
15.2%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How GANESHHOU ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GANESHHOU overvalued? GANESHHOU P/E vs peers

GANESHHOU trades at 23.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GANESHHOU share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GANESHHOU history (22%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GANESHHOU 2027₹461₹795₹1,372+5%
GANESHHOU 2028₹390₹831₹1,770+9%
GANESHHOU 2029₹347₹869₹2,178+14%
GANESHHOU 2030₹311₹908₹2,657+19%
GANESHHOU 2031₹286₹949₹3,153+25%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GANESHHOU goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,522 within 5 years

The bull case for GANESHHOU

  • GANESHHOU's P/E of 23.9x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GANESHHOU's return on equity of 15.2% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GANESHHOU's return on capital employed of 18.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,178.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹347.

GANESHHOU volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GANESHHOU compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹461-₹1,372, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GANESHHOU price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.5%
80% range₹461-₹1,372
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.2%
80% range₹347-₹2,178
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
24.8%
80% range₹286-₹3,153
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)30%

GANESHHOU price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GANESHHOU simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GANESHHOU hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GANESHHOU price target & forecast page.

GANESHHOU Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GANESHHOU scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

GANESHHOU MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GANESHHOU with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.01%2.9×
Groww34.16%2.9×
Dhan34.01%2.9×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money34.16%2.9×
Pocketful34.16%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST34.01%2.9×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India34.16%2.9×

Compare every broker on the GANESHHOU MTF page.

About Ganesh Housing\nLimited: sector, index & market-cap context

Ganesh Housing\nLimited (GANESHHOU) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,344 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GANESHHOU Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ganesh Housing\nLimited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GANESHHOU analysis, FAQs

Is Ganesh Housing\nLimited (GANESHHOU) a good buy?

On the numbers, Ganesh Housing\nLimited (GANESHHOU) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.9× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GANESHHOU overvalued or undervalued?

GANESHHOU trades at 23.9× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GANESHHOU share price target for 2031?

GANESHHOU's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹949, with an 80% range of ₹286-₹3,153 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GANESHHOU doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GANESHHOU reaching ₹1,522 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for GANESHHOU?

GANESHHOU's P/E of 23.9x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GANESHHOU's return on equity of 15.2% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GANESHHOU's return on capital employed of 18.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GANESHHOU?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GANESHHOU