GARFIBRES
Garware Tech Fibres
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Garware Tech Fibres (GARFIBRES) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GARFIBRES a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Garware Tech Fibres (GARFIBRES) trades at ₹777,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, Garware Tech Fibres (GARFIBRES) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 36.9× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 43% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GARFIBRES fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GARFIBRES overvalued? GARFIBRES P/E vs its sector
GARFIBRES's P/E of 36.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.03% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GARFIBRES share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GARFIBRES history (1%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GARFIBRES 2027 | ₹441 | ₹743 | ₹1,216 | -7% |
| GARFIBRES 2028 | ₹333 | ₹683 | ₹1,389 | -14% |
| GARFIBRES 2029 | ₹265 | ₹638 | ₹1,549 | -20% |
| GARFIBRES 2030 | ₹211 | ₹594 | ₹1,632 | -25% |
| GARFIBRES 2031 | ₹176 | ₹544 | ₹1,706 | -32% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GARFIBRES goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GARFIBRES
- A healthy 16.1% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (22.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,549.
The bear case & risks
- At 36.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 43% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹265.
GARFIBRES volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GARFIBRES compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹441–₹1,216, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GARFIBRES price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GARFIBRES price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GARFIBRES hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GARFIBRES price target & forecast page.
GARFIBRES Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GARFIBRES scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GARFIBRES MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GARFIBRES with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.3% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.3% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the GARFIBRES MTF page.
GARFIBRES vs peers,sector comparison
About Garware Tech Fibres: sector, index & market-cap context
Garware Tech Fibres (GARFIBRES) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,714 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GARFIBRES Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Garware Tech Fibres's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GARFIBRES analysis, FAQs
Is Garware Tech Fibres (GARFIBRES) a good buy?
On the numbers, Garware Tech Fibres (GARFIBRES) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 36.9× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 43% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GARFIBRES overvalued or undervalued?
GARFIBRES trades at 36.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GARFIBRES share price target for 2031?
GARFIBRES's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹544, with an 80% range of ₹176–₹1,706 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GARFIBRES doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GARFIBRES reaching ₹1,593 (2×) within 5 years is 11%.
What is the bull case for GARFIBRES?
A healthy 16.1% return on equity. Strong ROCE (22.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in GARFIBRES?
At 36.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 43% chance of finishing above today's price.