Case study

GARUDA

Garuda Construction & Engineering

Screens attractive1y model -6.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

71Score

Garuda Construction & Engineering (GARUDA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GARUDA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Garuda Construction & Engineering (GARUDA) trades at ₹180,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100.

On the numbers, Garuda Construction & Engineering (GARUDA) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 31.2%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GARUDA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,679 Cr
Current price
₹180
P/E ratio
13.7×
P/B ratio
3.69×
Book value
₹49
Dividend yield
0.01%
ROCE
41.8%
ROE
31.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How GARUDA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold 3-year profit (PAT) growth or 3-year revenue growth figures for GARUDA, as of 9 Aug 2026, so those are not ranked here.

Is GARUDA overvalued? GARUDA P/E vs peers

GARUDA trades at 13.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GARUDA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.8y of GARUDA history (29%/yr drift, 61%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GARUDA 2027₹78₹168₹362-7%
GARUDA 2028₹52₹156₹473-13%
GARUDA 2029₹38₹146₹554-19%
GARUDA 2030₹29₹136₹634-25%
GARUDA 2031₹22₹126₹733-30%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GARUDA goes up, or doubles?

45%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
40%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
22%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹361 within 5 years

The bull case for GARUDA

  • GARUDA's P/E of 13.7x is lower than 78% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GARUDA's return on equity of 31.2% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GARUDA's return on capital employed of 41.8% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹554.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (61%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹38.

GARUDA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.8 years GARUDA compounded at 29%/year with annualized volatility of 61%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹78-₹362, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GARUDA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.9%
80% range₹78-₹362
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
19.3%
80% range₹38-₹554
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
30.0%
80% range₹22-₹733
P(price ↑)40%
P(price 2×)22%

GARUDA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GARUDA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GARUDA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GARUDA price target & forecast page.

GARUDA Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GARUDA scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

GARUDA MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GARUDA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox39.93%2.5×
Groww60.00%1.7×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money40.35%2.5×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST39.87%2.5×
Share India40.04%2.5×

Compare every broker on the GARUDA MTF page.

About Garuda Construction & Engineering: sector, index & market-cap context

Garuda Construction & Engineering (GARUDA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,679 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GARUDA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Garuda Construction & Engineering's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GARUDA analysis, FAQs

Is Garuda Construction & Engineering (GARUDA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Garuda Construction & Engineering (GARUDA) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 71/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 31.2%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GARUDA overvalued or undervalued?

GARUDA trades at 13.7× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GARUDA share price target for 2031?

GARUDA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹126, with an 80% range of ₹22-₹733 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GARUDA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GARUDA reaching ₹361 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.

What is the bull case for GARUDA?

GARUDA's P/E of 13.7x is lower than 78% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GARUDA's return on equity of 31.2% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GARUDA's return on capital employed of 41.8% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GARUDA?

High historical volatility (61%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GARUDA