Case study

GESHIP

The GE Shipping

Screens attractive1y model +2.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

The GE Shipping (GESHIP) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GESHIP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

The GE Shipping (GESHIP) trades at ₹1,473,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100.

On the numbers, The GE Shipping (GESHIP) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.2× earnings, ROE of 18.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GESHIP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹21,032 Cr
Current price
₹1,473
P/E ratio
7.2×
P/B ratio
1.24×
Book value
₹1,188
Dividend yield
2.38%
ROCE
18.4%
ROE
18.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is GESHIP overvalued? GESHIP P/E vs its sector

GESHIP's P/E of 7.2× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 2.38% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

GESHIP P/E
7.2×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
GESHIP div yield
2.38%
Peer median yield
1.67%

GESHIP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GESHIP history (9%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GESHIP 2027₹930₹1,473₹2,353+2%
GESHIP 2028₹784₹1,528₹2,945+6%
GESHIP 2029₹701₹1,578₹3,494+10%
GESHIP 2030₹633₹1,618₹4,064+13%
GESHIP 2031₹586₹1,658₹4,608+15%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GESHIP goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,875 within 5 years

The bull case for GESHIP

  • Trades at just 7.2× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.24×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • High return on equity (18.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (18.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Pays a 2.4% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,494.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹701.

GESHIP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GESHIP compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹930₹2,353, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GESHIP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹930–₹2,353
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.8%
80% range₹701–₹3,494
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
15.3%
80% range₹586–₹4,608
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)25%

GESHIP price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GESHIP simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GESHIP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GESHIP price target & forecast page.

GESHIP Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GESHIP scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

GESHIP MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GESHIP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST32.6%3.1×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.6%3.1×
DhanCHEAPEST32.6%3.1×

Compare every broker on the GESHIP MTF page.

GESHIP vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GESHIP (this stock)7.2×2.38%₹21,032 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About The GE Shipping: sector, index & market-cap context

The GE Shipping (GESHIP) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹21,032 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the GESHIP Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of The GE Shipping's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GESHIP analysis, FAQs

Is The GE Shipping (GESHIP) a good buy?

On the numbers, The GE Shipping (GESHIP) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.2× earnings, ROE of 18.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GESHIP overvalued or undervalued?

GESHIP trades at 7.2× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the GESHIP share price target for 2031?

GESHIP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,658, with an 80% range of ₹586₹4,608 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GESHIP doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GESHIP reaching ₹2,875 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for GESHIP?

Trades at just 7.2× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.24×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. High return on equity (18.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.

What are the risks in GESHIP?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GESHIP