GHCL
GHCL LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
GHCL LIMITED (GHCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GHCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
GHCL LIMITED (GHCL) trades at ₹436,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.
On the numbers, GHCL LIMITED (GHCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.8× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GHCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How GHCL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- GHCL's market cap of 4,009 Cr ranks in the 62nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GHCL's book value of ₹386 ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GHCL's promoter holding of 19.8% ranks in the bottom 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GHCL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -25.0% ranks in the 8th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GHCL's 3-year revenue growth of -12.0% ranks in the 8th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GHCL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02x is lower than 94% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is GHCL overvalued? GHCL P/E vs peers
GHCL trades at 8.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
GHCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GHCL history (6%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GHCL 2027 | ₹290 | ₹452 | ₹705 | +4% |
| GHCL 2028 | ₹248 | ₹469 | ₹886 | +7% |
| GHCL 2029 | ₹224 | ₹486 | ₹1,053 | +11% |
| GHCL 2030 | ₹207 | ₹504 | ₹1,226 | +15% |
| GHCL 2031 | ₹194 | ₹522 | ₹1,401 | +20% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GHCL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GHCL
- GHCL's P/E of 8.8x is lower than 89% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.13×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- GHCL's return on equity of 13.0% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GHCL's dividend yield of 2.8% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,053.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹224.
GHCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years GHCL compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹290-₹705, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GHCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GHCL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GHCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GHCL price target & forecast page.
GHCL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GHCL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
GHCL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GHCL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.75% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.87% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 34.97% | 2.9× |
| Paytm Money | 30.01% | 3.3× |
| Pocketful | 30.21% | 3.3× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 29.75% | 3.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Share India | 29.86% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the GHCL MTF page.
About GHCL LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
GHCL LIMITED (GHCL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,009 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the GHCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GHCL LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GHCL analysis, FAQs
Is GHCL LIMITED (GHCL) a good buy?
On the numbers, GHCL LIMITED (GHCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.8× earnings, ROE of 13.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GHCL overvalued or undervalued?
GHCL trades at 8.8× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the GHCL share price target for 2031?
GHCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹522, with an 80% range of ₹194-₹1,401 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GHCL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GHCL reaching ₹872 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for GHCL?
GHCL's P/E of 8.8x is lower than 89% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.13×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. GHCL's return on equity of 13.0% ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in GHCL?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.