Case study

GIPCL

Gujarat Industries Power Company Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +1.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

69Score

Gujarat Industries Power Company Limited (GIPCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GIPCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gujarat Industries Power Company Limited (GIPCL) trades at ₹158,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.

On the numbers, Gujarat Industries Power Company Limited (GIPCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.0× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GIPCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,451 Cr
Current price
₹158
P/E ratio
7.0×
P/B ratio
0.93×
Book value
₹170
Dividend yield
2.59%
ROCE
16.2%
ROE
14.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GIPCL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GIPCL overvalued? GIPCL P/E vs peers

GIPCL trades at 7.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GIPCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GIPCL history (5%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GIPCL 2027₹97₹161₹268+2%
GIPCL 2028₹81₹163₹332+4%
GIPCL 2029₹71₹166₹389+5%
GIPCL 2030₹63₹169₹452+7%
GIPCL 2031₹59₹172₹506+9%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GIPCL goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹316 within 5 years

The bull case for GIPCL

  • GIPCL's P/E of 7.0x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.93×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • GIPCL's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GIPCL's dividend yield of 2.6% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹389.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹71.

GIPCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GIPCL compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹97-₹268, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GIPCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.7%
80% range₹97-₹268
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
5.3%
80% range₹71-₹389
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
9.0%
80% range₹59-₹506
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)24%

GIPCL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GIPCL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GIPCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GIPCL price target & forecast page.

GIPCL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GIPCL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

GIPCL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GIPCL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.56%3.1×
Groww32.74%3.1×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo50.00%2.0×
Paytm Money32.90%3.0×
Pocketful33.09%3.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.56%3.1×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India32.70%3.1×

Compare every broker on the GIPCL MTF page.

About Gujarat Industries Power Company Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Gujarat Industries Power Company Limited (GIPCL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,451 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GIPCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gujarat Industries Power Company Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GIPCL analysis, FAQs

Is Gujarat Industries Power Company Limited (GIPCL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gujarat Industries Power Company Limited (GIPCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.0× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GIPCL overvalued or undervalued?

GIPCL trades at 7.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GIPCL share price target for 2031?

GIPCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹172, with an 80% range of ₹59-₹506 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GIPCL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GIPCL reaching ₹316 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for GIPCL?

GIPCL's P/E of 7.0x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.93×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. GIPCL's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GIPCL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GIPCL