Case study

GLAND

Gland Pharma

Tread carefully1y model +4.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Gland Pharma (GLAND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GLAND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gland Pharma (GLAND) trades at ₹2,187,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Gland Pharma (GLAND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 34.6× earnings, ROE of 10.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GLAND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹36,088 Cr
Current price
₹2,187
P/E ratio
34.6×
P/B ratio
3.48×
Book value
₹629
Dividend yield
0.82%
ROCE
15.1%
ROE
10.7%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is GLAND overvalued? GLAND P/E vs its sector

GLAND's P/E of 34.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.82% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

GLAND P/E
34.6×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
GLAND div yield
0.82%
Peer median yield
1.65%

GLAND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GLAND history (10%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GLAND 2027₹1,552₹2,286₹3,400+4%
GLAND 2028₹1,379₹2,414₹4,197+10%
GLAND 2029₹1,265₹2,549₹5,030+16%
GLAND 2030₹1,170₹2,644₹5,911+20%
GLAND 2031₹1,131₹2,788₹6,870+27%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GLAND goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
63%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,398 within 5 years

The bull case for GLAND

  • Gland Pharma is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,030.

The bear case & risks

  • At 34.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Return on equity is a soft 10.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,265.

GLAND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GLAND compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,552₹3,400, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GLAND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹1,552–₹3,400
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.9%
80% range₹1,265–₹5,030
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
26.8%
80% range₹1,131–₹6,870
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)26%

GLAND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GLAND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GLAND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GLAND price target & forecast page.

GLAND Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GLAND scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

GLAND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GLAND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST30.8%3.2×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.8%3.2×
DhanCHEAPEST30.8%3.2×

Compare every broker on the GLAND MTF page.

GLAND vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GLAND (this stock)34.6×0.82%₹36,088 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Gland Pharma: sector, index & market-cap context

Gland Pharma (GLAND) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹36,088 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the GLAND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gland Pharma's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GLAND analysis, FAQs

Is Gland Pharma (GLAND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gland Pharma (GLAND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 34.6× earnings, ROE of 10.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GLAND overvalued or undervalued?

GLAND trades at 34.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the GLAND share price target for 2031?

GLAND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,788, with an 80% range of ₹1,131₹6,870 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GLAND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GLAND reaching ₹4,398 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for GLAND?

Gland Pharma is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in GLAND?

At 34.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 10.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.

More on GLAND