Case study

GLENMARK

Glenmark Pharma

Screens attractive1y model +29.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Glenmark Pharma (GLENMARK) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GLENMARK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Glenmark Pharma (GLENMARK) trades at ₹2,192,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100.

On the numbers, Glenmark Pharma (GLENMARK) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.0× earnings, ROE of 30.5%, a 81% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GLENMARK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹61,843 Cr
Current price
₹2,192
P/E ratio
21.0×
P/B ratio
5.89×
Book value
₹372
Dividend yield
0.11%
ROCE
39.8%
ROE
30.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is GLENMARK overvalued? GLENMARK P/E vs its sector

GLENMARK's P/E of 21.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.11% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

GLENMARK P/E
21.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
GLENMARK div yield
0.11%
Peer median yield
1.65%

GLENMARK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GLENMARK history (30%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GLENMARK 2027₹1,958₹2,870₹4,225+30%
GLENMARK 2028₹2,147₹3,744₹6,383+69%
GLENMARK 2029₹2,513₹4,836₹9,329+118%
GLENMARK 2030₹2,898₹6,200₹13,362+180%
GLENMARK 2031₹3,348₹8,040₹18,444+263%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GLENMARK goes up, or doubles?

81%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
97%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
81%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,427 within 5 years

The bull case for GLENMARK

  • A 21.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • High return on equity (30.5%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (39.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 81% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,870 (+30%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹9,329.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,513.

GLENMARK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GLENMARK compounded at 30%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,958₹4,225, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GLENMARK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
29.7%
80% range₹1,958–₹4,225
P(price ↑)81%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
118.5%
80% range₹2,513–₹9,329
P(price ↑)94%
P(price 2×)57%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
263.2%
80% range₹3,348–₹18,444
P(price ↑)97%
P(price 2×)81%

GLENMARK price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GLENMARK simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GLENMARK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GLENMARK price target & forecast page.

GLENMARK Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GLENMARK scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

GLENMARK MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GLENMARK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox29.7%3.4×
Zerodha25.3%4.0×
DhanCHEAPEST23.0%4.3×

Compare every broker on the GLENMARK MTF page.

GLENMARK vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GLENMARK (this stock)21.0×0.11%₹61,843 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Glenmark Pharma: sector, index & market-cap context

Glenmark Pharma (GLENMARK) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹61,843 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the GLENMARK Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Glenmark Pharma's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GLENMARK analysis, FAQs

Is Glenmark Pharma (GLENMARK) a good buy?

On the numbers, Glenmark Pharma (GLENMARK) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.0× earnings, ROE of 30.5%, a 81% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GLENMARK overvalued or undervalued?

GLENMARK trades at 21.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the GLENMARK share price target for 2031?

GLENMARK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹8,040, with an 80% range of ₹3,348₹18,444 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GLENMARK doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GLENMARK reaching ₹4,427 (2×) within 5 years is 81%.

What is the bull case for GLENMARK?

A 21.0× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (30.5%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (39.8%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in GLENMARK?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GLENMARK