Case study

GMBREW

Gm Breweries Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +2.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Gm Breweries Limited (GMBREW) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GMBREW a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gm Breweries Limited (GMBREW) trades at ₹908,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Gm Breweries Limited (GMBREW) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GMBREW fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,075 Cr
Current price
₹908
P/E ratio
15.0×
P/B ratio
1.92×
Book value
₹472
Dividend yield
0.99%
ROCE
18.0%
ROE
12.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GMBREW ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for GMBREW, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is GMBREW overvalued? GMBREW P/E vs peers

GMBREW trades at 15.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GMBREW share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GMBREW history (12%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GMBREW 2027₹538₹928₹1,601+2%
GMBREW 2028₹445₹949₹2,022+4%
GMBREW 2029₹374₹970₹2,513+7%
GMBREW 2030₹337₹991₹2,914+9%
GMBREW 2031₹300₹1,013₹3,428+12%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GMBREW goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,817 within 5 years

The bull case for GMBREW

  • GMBREW's P/E of 15.0x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GMBREW's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GMBREW's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,513.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹374.

GMBREW volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GMBREW compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹538-₹1,601, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GMBREW price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.2%
80% range₹538-₹1,601
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.8%
80% range₹374-₹2,513
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.6%
80% range₹300-₹3,428
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)27%

GMBREW price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GMBREW simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GMBREW hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GMBREW price target & forecast page.

GMBREW Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GMBREW scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

GMBREW MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GMBREW with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.87%3.0×
Groww50.00%2.0×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money40.00%2.5×
Pocketful34.53%2.9×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.87%3.0×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India34.04%2.9×

Compare every broker on the GMBREW MTF page.

About Gm Breweries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Gm Breweries Limited (GMBREW) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,075 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GMBREW Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gm Breweries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GMBREW analysis, FAQs

Is Gm Breweries Limited (GMBREW) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gm Breweries Limited (GMBREW) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.0× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GMBREW overvalued or undervalued?

GMBREW trades at 15.0× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GMBREW share price target for 2031?

GMBREW's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,013, with an 80% range of ₹300-₹3,428 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GMBREW doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GMBREW reaching ₹1,817 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for GMBREW?

GMBREW's P/E of 15.0x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GMBREW's return on equity of 12.5% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GMBREW's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GMBREW?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GMBREW