Case study

GNA

Gna Axles Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +2.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Gna Axles Limited (GNA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GNA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gna Axles Limited (GNA) trades at ₹527,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Gna Axles Limited (GNA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.1× earnings, ROE of 12.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GNA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,263 Cr
Current price
₹527
P/E ratio
17.1×
P/B ratio
2.25×
Book value
₹234
Dividend yield
0.57%
ROCE
14.3%
ROE
12.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How GNA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GNA overvalued? GNA P/E vs peers

GNA trades at 17.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GNA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.7y of GNA history (15%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GNA 2027₹320₹541₹912+3%
GNA 2028₹260₹554₹1,179+5%
GNA 2029₹229₹568₹1,413+8%
GNA 2030₹203₹583₹1,671+10%
GNA 2031₹180₹597₹1,984+13%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GNA goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,054 within 5 years

The bull case for GNA

  • GNA's P/E of 17.1x is lower than 68% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GNA's return on equity of 12.2% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,413.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹229.

GNA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.7 years GNA compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹320-₹912, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GNA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.7 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.5%
80% range₹320-₹912
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.8%
80% range₹229-₹1,413
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
13.3%
80% range₹180-₹1,984
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)28%

GNA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GNA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GNA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GNA price target & forecast page.

GNA Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GNA scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

GNA MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GNA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha36.25%2.8×
Groww36.36%2.8×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
PocketfulCHEAPEST35.85%2.8×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share India36.31%2.8×

Compare every broker on the GNA MTF page.

About Gna Axles Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Gna Axles Limited (GNA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,263 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GNA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gna Axles Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GNA analysis, FAQs

Is Gna Axles Limited (GNA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gna Axles Limited (GNA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.1× earnings, ROE of 12.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GNA overvalued or undervalued?

GNA trades at 17.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GNA share price target for 2031?

GNA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹597, with an 80% range of ₹180-₹1,984 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GNA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GNA reaching ₹1,054 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for GNA?

GNA's P/E of 17.1x is lower than 68% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GNA's return on equity of 12.2% ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GNA?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GNA