GNA
GNA Axles
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
GNA Axles (GNA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GNA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
GNA Axles (GNA) trades at ₹422,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100.
On the numbers, GNA Axles (GNA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.5× earnings, ROE of 12.2%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GNA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GNA overvalued? GNA P/E vs its sector
GNA's P/E of 15.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.5×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.71% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GNA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GNA history (2%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNA 2027 | ₹236 | ₹391 | ₹648 | -5% |
| GNA 2028 | ₹175 | ₹368 | ₹752 | -11% |
| GNA 2029 | ₹144 | ₹344 | ₹834 | -17% |
| GNA 2030 | ₹116 | ₹325 | ₹893 | -21% |
| GNA 2031 | ₹97 | ₹303 | ₹951 | -27% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GNA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GNA
- A 15.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 12.2% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹834.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹144.
GNA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GNA compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹236–₹648, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GNA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GNA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GNA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GNA price target & forecast page.
GNA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GNA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GNA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GNA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the GNA MTF page.
GNA vs peers,sector comparison
About GNA Axles: sector, index & market-cap context
GNA Axles (GNA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,807 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GNA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GNA Axles's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GNA analysis, FAQs
Is GNA Axles (GNA) a good buy?
On the numbers, GNA Axles (GNA) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 51/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.5× earnings, ROE of 12.2%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GNA overvalued or undervalued?
GNA trades at 15.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.5×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GNA share price target for 2031?
GNA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹303, with an 80% range of ₹97–₹951 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GNA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GNA reaching ₹826 (2×) within 5 years is 13%.
What is the bull case for GNA?
A 15.5× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 12.2% return on equity.
What are the risks in GNA?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.