Case study

GODREJAGRO

Godrej Agrovet

Worth a closer look1y model -9.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Godrej Agrovet (GODREJAGRO) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GODREJAGRO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Godrej Agrovet (GODREJAGRO) trades at ₹577,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100.

On the numbers, Godrej Agrovet (GODREJAGRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.4× earnings, ROE of 22.4%, a 38% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GODREJAGRO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹11,097 Cr
Current price
₹577
P/E ratio
22.4×
P/B ratio
5.44×
Book value
₹106
Dividend yield
1.91%
ROCE
20.2%
ROE
22.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is GODREJAGRO overvalued? GODREJAGRO P/E vs its sector

GODREJAGRO's P/E of 22.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.91% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

GODREJAGRO P/E
22.4×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
GODREJAGRO div yield
1.91%
Peer median yield
1.67%

GODREJAGRO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GODREJAGRO history (-5%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GODREJAGRO 2027₹341₹521₹804-9%
GODREJAGRO 2028₹259₹472₹857-18%
GODREJAGRO 2029₹207₹426₹879-26%
GODREJAGRO 2030₹165₹382₹895-34%
GODREJAGRO 2031₹134₹342₹895-40%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GODREJAGRO goes up, or doubles?

38%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
25%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
5%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,150 within 5 years

The bull case for GODREJAGRO

  • A 22.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • High return on equity (22.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (20.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹879.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 38% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹207.

GODREJAGRO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GODREJAGRO compounded at -5%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹341₹804, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GODREJAGRO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.3%
80% range₹341–₹804
P(price ↑)38%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
25.8%
80% range₹207–₹879
P(price ↑)30%
P(price 2×)4%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
40.5%
80% range₹134–₹895
P(price ↑)25%
P(price 2×)5%

GODREJAGRO price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GODREJAGRO simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GODREJAGRO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GODREJAGRO price target & forecast page.

GODREJAGRO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GODREJAGRO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

GODREJAGRO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GODREJAGRO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.2%3.3×
DhanCHEAPEST30.2%3.3×

Compare every broker on the GODREJAGRO MTF page.

GODREJAGRO vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GODREJAGRO (this stock)22.4×1.91%₹11,097 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Godrej Agrovet: sector, index & market-cap context

Godrej Agrovet (GODREJAGRO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,097 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the GODREJAGRO Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Godrej Agrovet's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GODREJAGRO analysis, FAQs

Is Godrej Agrovet (GODREJAGRO) a good buy?

On the numbers, Godrej Agrovet (GODREJAGRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.4× earnings, ROE of 22.4%, a 38% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GODREJAGRO overvalued or undervalued?

GODREJAGRO trades at 22.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the GODREJAGRO share price target for 2031?

GODREJAGRO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹342, with an 80% range of ₹134₹895 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GODREJAGRO doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GODREJAGRO reaching ₹1,150 (2×) within 5 years is 5%.

What is the bull case for GODREJAGRO?

A 22.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (22.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (20.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in GODREJAGRO?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 38% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on GODREJAGRO