Case study

GOKEX

Gokaldas Exports Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model +0.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

Gokaldas Exports Limited (GOKEX) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GOKEX a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gokaldas Exports Limited (GOKEX) trades at ₹806,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, Gokaldas Exports Limited (GOKEX) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 59.0× earnings, ROE of 4.7%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GOKEX fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,902 Cr
Current price
₹806
P/E ratio
59.0×
P/B ratio
2.73×
Book value
₹295
ROCE
8.4%
ROE
4.7%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How GOKEX ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GOKEX overvalued? GOKEX P/E vs peers

GOKEX trades at 59.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GOKEX share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GOKEX history (21%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GOKEX 2027₹429₹809₹1,526+0%
GOKEX 2028₹327₹813₹2,021+1%
GOKEX 2029₹270₹817₹2,477+1%
GOKEX 2030₹226₹821₹2,978+2%
GOKEX 2031₹191₹825₹3,568+2%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GOKEX goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,611 within 5 years

The bull case for GOKEX

  • Gokaldas Exports Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,477.

The bear case & risks

  • GOKEX's P/E of 59.0x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GOKEX's return on equity of 4.7% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹270.

GOKEX volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GOKEX compounded at 21%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹429-₹1,526, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GOKEX price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.5%
80% range₹429-₹1,526
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.5%
80% range₹270-₹2,477
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹191-₹3,568
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)28%

GOKEX price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GOKEX simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GOKEX hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GOKEX price target & forecast page.

GOKEX Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GOKEX scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

GOKEX MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GOKEX with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox39.54%2.5×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.48%2.5×
Groww39.73%2.5×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo39.53%2.5×
Paytm Money54.95%1.8×
Pocketful40.14%2.5×
Fyers40.00%2.5×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST39.48%2.5×
Bajaj Broking42.00%2.4×
Share India39.67%2.5×

Compare every broker on the GOKEX MTF page.

About Gokaldas Exports Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Gokaldas Exports Limited (GOKEX) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,902 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GOKEX Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gokaldas Exports Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GOKEX analysis, FAQs

Is Gokaldas Exports Limited (GOKEX) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gokaldas Exports Limited (GOKEX) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 59.0× earnings, ROE of 4.7%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GOKEX overvalued or undervalued?

GOKEX trades at 59.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GOKEX share price target for 2031?

GOKEX's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹825, with an 80% range of ₹191-₹3,568 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GOKEX doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GOKEX reaching ₹1,611 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for GOKEX?

Gokaldas Exports Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in GOKEX?

GOKEX's P/E of 59.0x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GOKEX's return on equity of 4.7% ranks in the 28th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GOKEX