GOKEX
Gokaldas Exports
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Gokaldas Exports (GOKEX) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GOKEX a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Gokaldas Exports (GOKEX) trades at ₹819,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100.
On the numbers, Gokaldas Exports (GOKEX) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 60.1× earnings, ROE of 4.7%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GOKEX fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GOKEX overvalued? GOKEX P/E vs its sector
GOKEX's P/E of 60.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
GOKEX share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GOKEX history (-4%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOKEX 2027 | ₹356 | ₹694 | ₹1,335 | -15% |
| GOKEX 2028 | ₹228 | ₹576 | ₹1,468 | -30% |
| GOKEX 2029 | ₹157 | ₹486 | ₹1,543 | -41% |
| GOKEX 2030 | ₹110 | ₹405 | ₹1,518 | -51% |
| GOKEX 2031 | ₹79 | ₹338 | ₹1,469 | -59% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GOKEX goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GOKEX
- Gokaldas Exports is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,543.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 60.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 4.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹157.
GOKEX volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GOKEX compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹356–₹1,335, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GOKEX price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GOKEX price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GOKEX hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GOKEX price target & forecast page.
GOKEX Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GOKEX scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
GOKEX MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GOKEX with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 40.8% | 2.4× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 40.8% | 2.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 40.8% | 2.4× |
Compare every broker on the GOKEX MTF page.
GOKEX vs peers,sector comparison
About Gokaldas Exports: sector, index & market-cap context
Gokaldas Exports (GOKEX) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,017 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GOKEX Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gokaldas Exports's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GOKEX analysis, FAQs
Is Gokaldas Exports (GOKEX) a good buy?
On the numbers, Gokaldas Exports (GOKEX) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 60.1× earnings, ROE of 4.7%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GOKEX overvalued or undervalued?
GOKEX trades at 60.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GOKEX share price target for 2031?
GOKEX's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹338, with an 80% range of ₹79–₹1,469 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GOKEX doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GOKEX reaching ₹1,637 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.
What is the bull case for GOKEX?
Gokaldas Exports is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GOKEX?
A rich 60.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 4.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.