GOKULAGRO
GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LTD (GOKULAGRO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GOKULAGRO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LTD (GOKULAGRO) trades at ₹220,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.
On the numbers, GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LTD (GOKULAGRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.6× earnings, ROE of 30.0%, a 75% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GOKULAGRO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GOKULAGRO overvalued? GOKULAGRO P/E vs its sector
GOKULAGRO's P/E of 17.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
GOKULAGRO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GOKULAGRO history (47%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOKULAGRO 2027 | ₹167 | ₹313 | ₹589 | +41% |
| GOKULAGRO 2028 | ₹180 | ₹443 | ₹1,073 | +100% |
| GOKULAGRO 2029 | ₹210 | ₹625 | ₹1,843 | +182% |
| GOKULAGRO 2030 | ₹256 | ₹903 | ₹3,037 | +307% |
| GOKULAGRO 2031 | ₹311 | ₹1,277 | ₹5,140 | +476% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GOKULAGRO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GOKULAGRO
- A 17.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- High return on equity (30.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (36.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 75% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹313 (+41%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,843.
The bear case & risks
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹210.
GOKULAGRO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GOKULAGRO compounded at 47%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹167–₹589, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GOKULAGRO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GOKULAGRO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GOKULAGRO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GOKULAGRO price target & forecast page.
GOKULAGRO Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GOKULAGRO scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
GOKULAGRO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GOKULAGRO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.7% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.7% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 36.7% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the GOKULAGRO MTF page.
GOKULAGRO vs peers,sector comparison
About GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LTD (GOKULAGRO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,501 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GOKULAGRO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GOKULAGRO analysis, FAQs
Is GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LTD (GOKULAGRO) a good buy?
On the numbers, GOKUL AGRO RESOURCES LTD (GOKULAGRO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.6× earnings, ROE of 30.0%, a 75% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GOKULAGRO overvalued or undervalued?
GOKULAGRO trades at 17.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GOKULAGRO share price target for 2031?
GOKULAGRO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,277, with an 80% range of ₹311–₹5,140 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GOKULAGRO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GOKULAGRO reaching ₹444 (2×) within 5 years is 84%.
What is the bull case for GOKULAGRO?
A 17.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (30.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (36.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in GOKULAGRO?
A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.