Case study

GOLDBEES

Nippon India ETF Gold BeES

Worth a closer look1y model +11.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

58Score

Nippon India ETF Gold BeES (GOLDBEES) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GOLDBEES a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.

On the numbers, Nippon India ETF Gold BeES (GOLDBEES) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

How GOLDBEES ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

GOLDBEES is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.

GOLDBEES share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GOLDBEES history (15%/yr drift, 25%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GOLDBEES 2027₹99₹137₹190+11%
GOLDBEES 2028₹97₹153₹240+24%
GOLDBEES 2029₹97₹170₹298+38%
GOLDBEES 2030₹101₹189₹354+53%
GOLDBEES 2031₹103₹211₹432+71%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GOLDBEES goes up, or doubles?

67%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
83%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
39%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹247 within 5 years

The bull case for GOLDBEES

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹137 (+11%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹298.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹97.

GOLDBEES volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GOLDBEES compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 25%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹99-₹190, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GOLDBEES price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
11.3%
80% range₹99-₹190
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
37.8%
80% range₹97-₹298
P(price ↑)77%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
70.7%
80% range₹103-₹432
P(price ↑)83%
P(price 2×)39%

GOLDBEES price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GOLDBEES simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GOLDBEES hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GOLDBEES price target & forecast page.

GOLDBEES MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GOLDBEES with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox50.00%2.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST28.56%3.5×
Groww30.00%3.3×
Dhan29.00%3.4×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money28.72%3.5×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST28.56%3.5×
Share India28.57%3.5×

Compare every broker on the GOLDBEES MTF page.

About Nippon India ETF Gold BeES: sector, index & market-cap context

Nippon India ETF Gold BeES (GOLDBEES) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GOLDBEES Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Nippon India ETF Gold BeES's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GOLDBEES analysis, FAQs

Is Nippon India ETF Gold BeES (GOLDBEES) a good buy?

On the numbers, Nippon India ETF Gold BeES (GOLDBEES) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 67% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GOLDBEES overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for GOLDBEES are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the GOLDBEES share price target for 2031?

GOLDBEES's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹211, with an 80% range of ₹103-₹432 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GOLDBEES doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GOLDBEES reaching ₹247 (2×) within 5 years is 39%.

What is the bull case for GOLDBEES?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 67% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹137 (+11%).

What are the risks in GOLDBEES?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GOLDBEES