Case study

GOLDIAM

Goldiam International Limited

Mixed signals1y model -7.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

53Score

Goldiam International Limited (GOLDIAM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GOLDIAM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Goldiam International Limited (GOLDIAM) trades at ₹373,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, Goldiam International Limited (GOLDIAM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 26.6× earnings, ROE of 18.5%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GOLDIAM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,614 Cr
Current price
₹373
P/E ratio
26.6×
P/B ratio
5.08×
Book value
₹73
Dividend yield
0.55%
ROCE
23.9%
ROE
18.5%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GOLDIAM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GOLDIAM overvalued? GOLDIAM P/E vs peers

GOLDIAM trades at 26.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GOLDIAM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GOLDIAM history (37%/yr drift, 63%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GOLDIAM 2027₹154₹345₹772-7%
GOLDIAM 2028₹98₹320₹1,046-14%
GOLDIAM 2029₹72₹296₹1,218-21%
GOLDIAM 2030₹53₹274₹1,409-26%
GOLDIAM 2031₹39₹254₹1,635-32%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GOLDIAM goes up, or doubles?

45%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
40%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
23%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹746 within 5 years

The bull case for GOLDIAM

  • GOLDIAM's return on equity of 18.5% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GOLDIAM's return on capital employed of 23.9% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,218.

The bear case & risks

  • GOLDIAM's P/E of 26.6x is lower than 50% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (63%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹72.

GOLDIAM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GOLDIAM compounded at 37%/year with annualized volatility of 63%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹154-₹772, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GOLDIAM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.4%
80% range₹154-₹772
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)11%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
20.6%
80% range₹72-₹1,218
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
31.9%
80% range₹39-₹1,635
P(price ↑)40%
P(price 2×)23%

GOLDIAM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GOLDIAM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GOLDIAM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GOLDIAM price target & forecast page.

GOLDIAM Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GOLDIAM scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

GOLDIAM MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GOLDIAM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox42.45%2.4×
Zerodha42.38%2.4×
Groww42.59%2.3×
Dhan42.38%2.4×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST42.37%2.4×
Paytm Money43.59%2.3×
Pocketful43.26%2.3×
Anand Rathi42.38%2.4×
Bajaj Broking55.00%1.8×
Share India42.58%2.3×

Compare every broker on the GOLDIAM MTF page.

About Goldiam International Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Goldiam International Limited (GOLDIAM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,614 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GOLDIAM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Goldiam International Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GOLDIAM analysis, FAQs

Is Goldiam International Limited (GOLDIAM) a good buy?

On the numbers, Goldiam International Limited (GOLDIAM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing premium at 26.6× earnings, ROE of 18.5%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GOLDIAM overvalued or undervalued?

GOLDIAM trades at 26.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GOLDIAM share price target for 2031?

GOLDIAM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹254, with an 80% range of ₹39-₹1,635 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GOLDIAM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GOLDIAM reaching ₹746 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.

What is the bull case for GOLDIAM?

GOLDIAM's return on equity of 18.5% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GOLDIAM's return on capital employed of 23.9% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GOLDIAM?

GOLDIAM's P/E of 26.6x is lower than 50% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (63%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GOLDIAM