GOLDIETF
ICICI Prudential Gold ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ICICI Prudential Gold ETF (GOLDIETF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GOLDIETF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, ICICI Prudential Gold ETF (GOLDIETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How GOLDIETF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
GOLDIETF is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
GOLDIETF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.6y of GOLDIETF history (34%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLDIETF 2027 | ₹103 | ₹142 | ₹196 | +11% |
| GOLDIETF 2028 | ₹98 | ₹158 | ₹252 | +23% |
| GOLDIETF 2029 | ₹98 | ₹175 | ₹312 | +37% |
| GOLDIETF 2030 | ₹101 | ₹194 | ₹374 | +52% |
| GOLDIETF 2031 | ₹105 | ₹215 | ₹444 | +69% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GOLDIETF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GOLDIETF
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹142 (+11%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹312.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹98.
GOLDIETF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.6 years GOLDIETF compounded at 34%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹103-₹196, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GOLDIETF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GOLDIETF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GOLDIETF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GOLDIETF price target & forecast page.
GOLDIETF MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GOLDIETF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 28.88% | 3.5× |
| Groww | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 29.00% | 3.4× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 29.05% | 3.4× |
| Pocketful | 29.23% | 3.4× |
| Fyers | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 28.88% | 3.5× |
| Share India | 28.90% | 3.5× |
Compare every broker on the GOLDIETF MTF page.
About ICICI Prudential Gold ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
ICICI Prudential Gold ETF (GOLDIETF) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the GOLDIETF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ICICI Prudential Gold ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GOLDIETF analysis, FAQs
Is ICICI Prudential Gold ETF (GOLDIETF) a good buy?
On the numbers, ICICI Prudential Gold ETF (GOLDIETF) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GOLDIETF overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for GOLDIETF are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the GOLDIETF share price target for 2031?
GOLDIETF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹215, with an 80% range of ₹105-₹444 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GOLDIETF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GOLDIETF reaching ₹256 (2×) within 5 years is 38%.
What is the bull case for GOLDIETF?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹142 (+11%).
What are the risks in GOLDIETF?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.