Case study

GOODLUCK

Goodluck India Limited

Mixed signals1y model +2.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

52Score

Goodluck India Limited (GOODLUCK) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GOODLUCK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Goodluck India Limited (GOODLUCK) trades at ₹1,509,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, Goodluck India Limited (GOODLUCK) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.6× earnings, ROE of 12.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GOODLUCK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,015 Cr
Current price
₹1,509
P/E ratio
24.6×
P/B ratio
3.36×
Book value
₹449
Dividend yield
0.20%
ROCE
14.4%
ROE
12.9%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GOODLUCK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GOODLUCK overvalued? GOODLUCK P/E vs peers

GOODLUCK trades at 24.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GOODLUCK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.7y of GOODLUCK history (27%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GOODLUCK 2027₹827₹1,543₹2,879+2%
GOODLUCK 2028₹645₹1,579₹3,866+5%
GOODLUCK 2029₹541₹1,615₹4,817+7%
GOODLUCK 2030₹463₹1,652₹5,889+9%
GOODLUCK 2031₹410₹1,689₹6,956+12%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GOODLUCK goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
54%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,018 within 5 years

The bull case for GOODLUCK

  • GOODLUCK's P/E of 24.6x is lower than 54% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GOODLUCK's return on equity of 12.9% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,817.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹541.

GOODLUCK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.7 years GOODLUCK compounded at 27%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹827-₹2,879, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GOODLUCK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.7 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹827-₹2,879
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.0%
80% range₹541-₹4,817
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
12.0%
80% range₹410-₹6,956
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)30%

GOODLUCK price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GOODLUCK simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GOODLUCK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GOODLUCK price target & forecast page.

GOODLUCK Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GOODLUCK scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

GOODLUCK MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GOODLUCK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox36.57%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.53%2.7×
Groww40.00%2.5×
DhanCHEAPEST36.53%2.7×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money36.91%2.7×
Pocketful37.24%2.7×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST36.53%2.7×
Share India36.69%2.7×

Compare every broker on the GOODLUCK MTF page.

About Goodluck India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Goodluck India Limited (GOODLUCK) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,015 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GOODLUCK Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Goodluck India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GOODLUCK analysis, FAQs

Is Goodluck India Limited (GOODLUCK) a good buy?

On the numbers, Goodluck India Limited (GOODLUCK) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.6× earnings, ROE of 12.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GOODLUCK overvalued or undervalued?

GOODLUCK trades at 24.6× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GOODLUCK share price target for 2031?

GOODLUCK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,689, with an 80% range of ₹410-₹6,956 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GOODLUCK doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GOODLUCK reaching ₹3,018 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for GOODLUCK?

GOODLUCK's P/E of 24.6x is lower than 54% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GOODLUCK's return on equity of 12.9% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GOODLUCK?

High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GOODLUCK