GOODLUCK
Goodluck India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Goodluck India (GOODLUCK) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GOODLUCK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Goodluck India (GOODLUCK) trades at ₹1,483,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.
On the numbers, Goodluck India (GOODLUCK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 27.4× earnings, ROE of 12.9%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GOODLUCK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GOODLUCK overvalued? GOODLUCK P/E vs its sector
GOODLUCK's P/E of 27.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.27% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GOODLUCK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GOODLUCK history (23%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOODLUCK 2027 | ₹848 | ₹1,587 | ₹3,021 | +12% |
| GOODLUCK 2028 | ₹733 | ₹1,770 | ₹4,345 | +24% |
| GOODLUCK 2029 | ₹669 | ₹1,939 | ₹5,878 | +36% |
| GOODLUCK 2030 | ₹610 | ₹2,155 | ₹7,752 | +51% |
| GOODLUCK 2031 | ₹570 | ₹2,357 | ₹9,874 | +66% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GOODLUCK goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GOODLUCK
- A healthy 12.9% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,878.
The bear case & risks
- At 27.4× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹669.
GOODLUCK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GOODLUCK compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹848–₹3,021, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GOODLUCK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GOODLUCK price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GOODLUCK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GOODLUCK price target & forecast page.
GOODLUCK Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GOODLUCK scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GOODLUCK MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GOODLUCK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the GOODLUCK MTF page.
GOODLUCK vs peers,sector comparison
About Goodluck India: sector, index & market-cap context
Goodluck India (GOODLUCK) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,943 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GOODLUCK Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Goodluck India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GOODLUCK analysis, FAQs
Is Goodluck India (GOODLUCK) a good buy?
On the numbers, Goodluck India (GOODLUCK) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 27.4× earnings, ROE of 12.9%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GOODLUCK overvalued or undervalued?
GOODLUCK trades at 27.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GOODLUCK share price target for 2031?
GOODLUCK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,357, with an 80% range of ₹570–₹9,874 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GOODLUCK doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GOODLUCK reaching ₹2,847 (2×) within 5 years is 43%.
What is the bull case for GOODLUCK?
A healthy 12.9% return on equity.
What are the risks in GOODLUCK?
At 27.4× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.