Case study

GPIL

Godawari Power And Ispat Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +6.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Godawari Power And Ispat Limited (GPIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GPIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Godawari Power And Ispat Limited (GPIL) trades at ₹241,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Godawari Power And Ispat Limited (GPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.8× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GPIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹16,195 Cr
Current price
₹241
P/E ratio
19.8×
P/B ratio
2.79×
Book value
₹87
Dividend yield
0.42%
ROCE
20.4%
ROE
15.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How GPIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year profit (PAT) growth figure for GPIL, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is GPIL overvalued? GPIL P/E vs peers

GPIL trades at 19.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GPIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GPIL history (46%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GPIL 2027₹155₹256₹423+6%
GPIL 2028₹136₹272₹546+13%
GPIL 2029₹122₹289₹687+20%
GPIL 2030₹115₹308₹822+28%
GPIL 2031₹109₹327₹981+36%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GPIL goes up, or doubles?

57%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
64%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹481 within 5 years

The bull case for GPIL

  • GPIL's P/E of 19.8x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GPIL's return on equity of 15.2% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GPIL's return on capital employed of 20.4% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹687.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹122.

GPIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GPIL compounded at 46%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹155-₹423, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GPIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.3%
80% range₹155-₹423
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
20.2%
80% range₹122-₹687
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
35.9%
80% range₹109-₹981
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)33%

GPIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GPIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GPIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GPIL price target & forecast page.

GPIL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GPIL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

GPIL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GPIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox32.44%3.1×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST32.42%3.1×
Groww32.59%3.1×
DhanCHEAPEST32.42%3.1×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money32.61%3.1×
Pocketful32.82%3.0×
Fyers33.33%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST32.42%3.1×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India32.56%3.1×

Compare every broker on the GPIL MTF page.

About Godawari Power And Ispat Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Godawari Power And Ispat Limited (GPIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,195 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GPIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Godawari Power And Ispat Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GPIL analysis, FAQs

Is Godawari Power And Ispat Limited (GPIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Godawari Power And Ispat Limited (GPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.8× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GPIL overvalued or undervalued?

GPIL trades at 19.8× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GPIL share price target for 2031?

GPIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹327, with an 80% range of ₹109-₹981 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GPIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GPIL reaching ₹481 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for GPIL?

GPIL's P/E of 19.8x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GPIL's return on equity of 15.2% ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GPIL's return on capital employed of 20.4% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GPIL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GPIL