GPIL
GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD (GPIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GPIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD (GPIL) trades at ₹277,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD (GPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.9× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GPIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GPIL overvalued? GPIL P/E vs its sector
GPIL's P/E of 22.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.36% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GPIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GPIL history (9%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPIL 2027 | ₹164 | ₹272 | ₹454 | +1% |
| GPIL 2028 | ₹135 | ₹274 | ₹560 | +2% |
| GPIL 2029 | ₹114 | ₹275 | ₹662 | +2% |
| GPIL 2030 | ₹102 | ₹278 | ₹768 | +3% |
| GPIL 2031 | ₹90 | ₹279 | ₹868 | +4% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GPIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GPIL
- A 22.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 15.2% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (20.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹662.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹114.
GPIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GPIL compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹164–₹454, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GPIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GPIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GPIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GPIL price target & forecast page.
GPIL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GPIL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GPIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GPIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 33.2% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.2% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.2% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the GPIL MTF page.
GPIL vs peers,sector comparison
About GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD (GPIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,635 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the GPIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GPIL analysis, FAQs
Is GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD (GPIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, GODAWARI POW & ISP LTD (GPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.9× earnings, ROE of 15.2%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GPIL overvalued or undervalued?
GPIL trades at 22.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GPIL share price target for 2031?
GPIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹279, with an 80% range of ₹90–₹868 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GPIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GPIL reaching ₹538 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.
What is the bull case for GPIL?
A 22.9× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 15.2% return on equity. Strong ROCE (20.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in GPIL?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.