Case study

GPPL

Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited

Screens attractive1y model +2.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

80Score

Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (GPPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GPPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (GPPL) trades at ₹152,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100.

On the numbers, Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (GPPL) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.6× earnings, ROE of 21.2%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GPPL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹7,330 Cr
Current price
₹152
P/E ratio
14.6×
P/B ratio
3.08×
Book value
₹49
Dividend yield
3.56%
ROCE
28.0%
ROE
21.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GPPL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GPPL overvalued? GPPL P/E vs peers

GPPL trades at 14.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GPPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GPPL history (-1%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GPPL 2027₹104₹155₹233+2%
GPPL 2028₹90₹159₹281+5%
GPPL 2029₹82₹163₹323+7%
GPPL 2030₹76₹167₹364+10%
GPPL 2031₹71₹171₹409+13%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GPPL goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
20%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹303 within 5 years

The bull case for GPPL

  • GPPL's P/E of 14.6x is lower than 75% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GPPL's return on equity of 21.2% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GPPL's return on capital employed of 28.0% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GPPL's dividend yield of 3.6% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹323.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹82.

GPPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GPPL compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹104-₹233, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GPPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹104-₹233
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.4%
80% range₹82-₹323
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)12%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
12.7%
80% range₹71-₹409
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)20%

GPPL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GPPL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GPPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GPPL price target & forecast page.

GPPL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GPPL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

GPPL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GPPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.79%3.4×
Groww29.95%3.3×
Dhan30.00%3.3×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money30.10%3.3×
Pocketful30.28%3.3×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST29.79%3.4×
Bajaj Broking32.00%3.1×
Share India29.92%3.3×

Compare every broker on the GPPL MTF page.

About Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (GPPL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,330 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GPPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GPPL analysis, FAQs

Is Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (GPPL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited (GPPL) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.6× earnings, ROE of 21.2%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GPPL overvalued or undervalued?

GPPL trades at 14.6× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GPPL share price target for 2031?

GPPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹171, with an 80% range of ₹71-₹409 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GPPL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GPPL reaching ₹303 (2×) within 5 years is 20%.

What is the bull case for GPPL?

GPPL's P/E of 14.6x is lower than 75% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GPPL's return on equity of 21.2% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GPPL's return on capital employed of 28.0% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GPPL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GPPL