Case study

GPTHEALTH

GPTHEALTH

Mixed signals1y model -6.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

GPTHEALTH (GPTHEALTH) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GPTHEALTH a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

GPTHEALTH (GPTHEALTH) trades at ₹150,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, GPTHEALTH (GPTHEALTH) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing premium at 29.6× earnings, ROE of 28.5%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GPTHEALTH fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,235 Cr
Current price
₹150
P/E ratio
29.6×
P/B ratio
89.82×
Book value
₹2
Dividend yield
1.67%
ROCE
23.6%
ROE
28.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is GPTHEALTH overvalued? GPTHEALTH P/E vs its sector

GPTHEALTH's P/E of 29.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.67% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

GPTHEALTH P/E
29.6×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
GPTHEALTH div yield
1.67%
Peer median yield
1.67%

GPTHEALTH share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GPTHEALTH history (-2%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GPTHEALTH 2027₹91₹138₹209-7%
GPTHEALTH 2028₹71₹130₹236-12%
GPTHEALTH 2029₹58₹119₹248-19%
GPTHEALTH 2030₹47₹111₹262-25%
GPTHEALTH 2031₹40₹104₹264-30%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GPTHEALTH goes up, or doubles?

42%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
31%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
8%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹296 within 5 years

The bull case for GPTHEALTH

  • High return on equity (28.5%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (23.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹248.

The bear case & risks

  • At 29.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • A steep 89.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹58.

GPTHEALTH volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GPTHEALTH compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹91₹209, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GPTHEALTH price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.7%
80% range₹91–₹209
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
19.2%
80% range₹58–₹248
P(price ↑)36%
P(price 2×)6%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
29.8%
80% range₹40–₹264
P(price ↑)31%
P(price 2×)8%

GPTHEALTH price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GPTHEALTH simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GPTHEALTH hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GPTHEALTH price target & forecast page.

GPTHEALTH Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GPTHEALTH scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

GPTHEALTH MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GPTHEALTH with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.4%3.4×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the GPTHEALTH MTF page.

GPTHEALTH vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GPTHEALTH (this stock)29.6×1.67%₹1,235 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About GPTHEALTH: sector, index & market-cap context

GPTHEALTH (GPTHEALTH) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,235 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the GPTHEALTH Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GPTHEALTH's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GPTHEALTH analysis, FAQs

Is GPTHEALTH (GPTHEALTH) a good buy?

On the numbers, GPTHEALTH (GPTHEALTH) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing premium at 29.6× earnings, ROE of 28.5%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GPTHEALTH overvalued or undervalued?

GPTHEALTH trades at 29.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the GPTHEALTH share price target for 2031?

GPTHEALTH's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹104, with an 80% range of ₹40₹264 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GPTHEALTH doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GPTHEALTH reaching ₹296 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.

What is the bull case for GPTHEALTH?

High return on equity (28.5%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (23.6%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in GPTHEALTH?

At 29.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A steep 89.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on GPTHEALTH