GRANULES
GRANULES INDIA LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
GRANULES INDIA LIMITED (GRANULES) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GRANULES a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
GRANULES INDIA LIMITED (GRANULES) trades at ₹874,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, GRANULES INDIA LIMITED (GRANULES) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 33.3× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GRANULES fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How GRANULES ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- GRANULES's market cap of 21,654 Cr ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GRANULES's book value of ₹205 ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GRANULES's promoter holding of 38.0% ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GRANULES's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 5.0% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GRANULES's 3-year revenue growth of 6.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GRANULES's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30x is lower than 51% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is GRANULES overvalued? GRANULES P/E vs peers
GRANULES trades at 33.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
GRANULES share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GRANULES history (18%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRANULES 2027 | ₹578 | ₹927 | ₹1,485 | +6% |
| GRANULES 2028 | ₹508 | ₹983 | ₹1,900 | +12% |
| GRANULES 2029 | ₹467 | ₹1,042 | ₹2,326 | +19% |
| GRANULES 2030 | ₹431 | ₹1,105 | ₹2,832 | +26% |
| GRANULES 2031 | ₹410 | ₹1,172 | ₹3,347 | +34% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GRANULES goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GRANULES
- GRANULES's return on equity of 13.8% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,326.
The bear case & risks
- GRANULES's P/E of 33.3x is lower than 41% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹467.
GRANULES volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years GRANULES compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹578-₹1,485, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GRANULES price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GRANULES price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GRANULES hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GRANULES price target & forecast page.
GRANULES Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GRANULES scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
GRANULES MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GRANULES with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 30.33% | 3.3× |
| Zerodha | 30.44% | 3.3× |
| Groww | 30.36% | 3.3× |
| Dhan | 30.44% | 3.3× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 30.30% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 30.48% | 3.3× |
| Pocketful | 30.57% | 3.3× |
| Fyers | 31.25% | 3.2× |
| Anand Rathi | 30.44% | 3.3× |
| Bajaj Broking | 31.00% | 3.2× |
| Share India | 30.35% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the GRANULES MTF page.
About GRANULES INDIA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
GRANULES INDIA LIMITED (GRANULES) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹21,654 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the GRANULES Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GRANULES INDIA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GRANULES analysis, FAQs
Is GRANULES INDIA LIMITED (GRANULES) a good buy?
On the numbers, GRANULES INDIA LIMITED (GRANULES) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 33.3× earnings, ROE of 13.8%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GRANULES overvalued or undervalued?
GRANULES trades at 33.3× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the GRANULES share price target for 2031?
GRANULES's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,172, with an 80% range of ₹410-₹3,347 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GRANULES doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GRANULES reaching ₹1,748 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for GRANULES?
GRANULES's return on equity of 13.8% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in GRANULES?
GRANULES's P/E of 33.3x is lower than 41% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.