GRAPHITE
Graphite India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Graphite India (GRAPHITE) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GRAPHITE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Graphite India (GRAPHITE) trades at ₹638,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Graphite India (GRAPHITE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 68.7× earnings, ROE of 3.1%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GRAPHITE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GRAPHITE overvalued? GRAPHITE P/E vs its sector
GRAPHITE's P/E of 68.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.10% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GRAPHITE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GRAPHITE history (4%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRAPHITE 2027 | ₹363 | ₹618 | ₹1,044 | -3% |
| GRAPHITE 2028 | ₹279 | ₹594 | ₹1,246 | -7% |
| GRAPHITE 2029 | ₹226 | ₹564 | ₹1,399 | -12% |
| GRAPHITE 2030 | ₹185 | ₹540 | ₹1,562 | -15% |
| GRAPHITE 2031 | ₹155 | ₹520 | ₹1,683 | -18% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GRAPHITE goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GRAPHITE
- Graphite India is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,399.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 68.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 3.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹226.
GRAPHITE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GRAPHITE compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹363–₹1,044, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GRAPHITE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GRAPHITE price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GRAPHITE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GRAPHITE price target & forecast page.
GRAPHITE Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GRAPHITE scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GRAPHITE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GRAPHITE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 34.5% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the GRAPHITE MTF page.
GRAPHITE vs peers,sector comparison
About Graphite India: sector, index & market-cap context
Graphite India (GRAPHITE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,475 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the GRAPHITE Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Graphite India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GRAPHITE analysis, FAQs
Is Graphite India (GRAPHITE) a good buy?
On the numbers, Graphite India (GRAPHITE) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 68.7× earnings, ROE of 3.1%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GRAPHITE overvalued or undervalued?
GRAPHITE trades at 68.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GRAPHITE share price target for 2031?
GRAPHITE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹520, with an 80% range of ₹155–₹1,683 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GRAPHITE doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GRAPHITE reaching ₹1,276 (2×) within 5 years is 17%.
What is the bull case for GRAPHITE?
Graphite India is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GRAPHITE?
A rich 68.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 3.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.