Case study

GRAVITA

GRAVITA INDIA LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +4.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

42Score

GRAVITA INDIA LIMITED (GRAVITA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GRAVITA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

GRAVITA INDIA LIMITED (GRAVITA) trades at ₹1,732,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.

On the numbers, GRAVITA INDIA LIMITED (GRAVITA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 32.6× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GRAVITA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹12,784 Cr
Current price
₹1,732
P/E ratio
32.6×
P/B ratio
5.22×
Book value
₹332
Dividend yield
0.37%
ROCE
17.0%
ROE
16.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GRAVITA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GRAVITA overvalued? GRAVITA P/E vs peers

GRAVITA trades at 32.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GRAVITA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GRAVITA history (42%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GRAVITA 2027₹1,007₹1,804₹3,232+4%
GRAVITA 2028₹830₹1,878₹4,249+8%
GRAVITA 2029₹701₹1,956₹5,458+13%
GRAVITA 2030₹623₹2,037₹6,656+18%
GRAVITA 2031₹571₹2,121₹7,882+22%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GRAVITA goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
58%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,464 within 5 years

The bull case for GRAVITA

  • GRAVITA's return on equity of 16.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,458.

The bear case & risks

  • GRAVITA's P/E of 32.6x is lower than 42% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹701.

GRAVITA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GRAVITA compounded at 42%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,007-₹3,232, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GRAVITA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.1%
80% range₹1,007-₹3,232
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.9%
80% range₹701-₹5,458
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
22.5%
80% range₹571-₹7,882
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)32%

GRAVITA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GRAVITA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GRAVITA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GRAVITA price target & forecast page.

GRAVITA Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GRAVITA scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

GRAVITA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GRAVITA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox34.83%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.79%2.9×
Groww34.93%2.9×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo34.84%2.9×
Paytm Money34.98%2.9×
Pocketful34.83%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST34.79%2.9×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India34.93%2.9×

Compare every broker on the GRAVITA MTF page.

About GRAVITA INDIA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

GRAVITA INDIA LIMITED (GRAVITA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,784 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GRAVITA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GRAVITA INDIA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GRAVITA analysis, FAQs

Is GRAVITA INDIA LIMITED (GRAVITA) a good buy?

On the numbers, GRAVITA INDIA LIMITED (GRAVITA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 32.6× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GRAVITA overvalued or undervalued?

GRAVITA trades at 32.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GRAVITA share price target for 2031?

GRAVITA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,121, with an 80% range of ₹571-₹7,882 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GRAVITA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GRAVITA reaching ₹3,464 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for GRAVITA?

GRAVITA's return on equity of 16.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GRAVITA?

GRAVITA's P/E of 32.6x is lower than 42% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GRAVITA