Case study

GRAVITA

Gravita India

Tread carefully1y model -4.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Gravita India (GRAVITA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GRAVITA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gravita India (GRAVITA) trades at ₹1,740,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.

On the numbers, Gravita India (GRAVITA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 33.9× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GRAVITA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹12,842 Cr
Current price
₹1,740
P/E ratio
33.9×
P/B ratio
5.24×
Book value
₹332
Dividend yield
0.36%
ROCE
17.0%
ROE
16.8%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is GRAVITA overvalued? GRAVITA P/E vs its sector

GRAVITA's P/E of 33.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.36% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

GRAVITA P/E
33.9×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
GRAVITA div yield
0.36%
Peer median yield
1.65%

GRAVITA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GRAVITA history (8%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GRAVITA 2027₹928₹1,664₹3,083-4%
GRAVITA 2028₹688₹1,600₹3,803-8%
GRAVITA 2029₹547₹1,556₹4,464-11%
GRAVITA 2030₹439₹1,510₹5,202-13%
GRAVITA 2031₹373₹1,455₹5,568-16%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GRAVITA goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
43%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
20%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,480 within 5 years

The bull case for GRAVITA

  • A healthy 16.8% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,464.

The bear case & risks

  • At 33.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹547.

GRAVITA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GRAVITA compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹928₹3,083, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GRAVITA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.4%
80% range₹928–₹3,083
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.6%
80% range₹547–₹4,464
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
16.4%
80% range₹373–₹5,568
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)20%

GRAVITA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GRAVITA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GRAVITA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GRAVITA price target & forecast page.

GRAVITA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GRAVITA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

GRAVITA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GRAVITA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.1%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST35.1%2.9×
DhanCHEAPEST35.1%2.9×

Compare every broker on the GRAVITA MTF page.

GRAVITA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GRAVITA (this stock)33.9×0.36%₹12,842 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Gravita India: sector, index & market-cap context

Gravita India (GRAVITA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,842 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the GRAVITA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gravita India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GRAVITA analysis, FAQs

Is Gravita India (GRAVITA) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gravita India (GRAVITA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing premium at 33.9× earnings, ROE of 16.8%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GRAVITA overvalued or undervalued?

GRAVITA trades at 33.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the GRAVITA share price target for 2031?

GRAVITA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,455, with an 80% range of ₹373₹5,568 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GRAVITA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GRAVITA reaching ₹3,480 (2×) within 5 years is 20%.

What is the bull case for GRAVITA?

A healthy 16.8% return on equity.

What are the risks in GRAVITA?

At 33.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GRAVITA