GREAVESCOT
Greaves Cotton
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Greaves Cotton (GREAVESCOT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GREAVESCOT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, Greaves Cotton (GREAVESCOT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GREAVESCOT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GREAVESCOT history (20%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREAVESCOT 2027 | ₹113 | ₹213 | ₹405 | +8% |
| GREAVESCOT 2028 | ₹93 | ₹232 | ₹565 | +17% |
| GREAVESCOT 2029 | ₹82 | ₹254 | ₹741 | +28% |
| GREAVESCOT 2030 | ₹78 | ₹273 | ₹959 | +37% |
| GREAVESCOT 2031 | ₹72 | ₹293 | ₹1,195 | +48% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GREAVESCOT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GREAVESCOT
- Greaves Cotton is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹741.
The bear case & risks
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹82.
GREAVESCOT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GREAVESCOT compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹113–₹405, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GREAVESCOT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GREAVESCOT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GREAVESCOT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GREAVESCOT price target & forecast page.
GREAVESCOT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GREAVESCOT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.9% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 35.9% | 2.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 35.9% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the GREAVESCOT MTF page.
GREAVESCOT vs peers,sector comparison
About Greaves Cotton: sector, index & market-cap context
Greaves Cotton (GREAVESCOT) is an NSE-listed company.
How the GREAVESCOT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Greaves Cotton's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GREAVESCOT analysis, FAQs
Is Greaves Cotton (GREAVESCOT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Greaves Cotton (GREAVESCOT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GREAVESCOT overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for GREAVESCOT are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the GREAVESCOT share price target for 2031?
GREAVESCOT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹293, with an 80% range of ₹72–₹1,195 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GREAVESCOT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GREAVESCOT reaching ₹397 (2×) within 5 years is 39%.
What is the bull case for GREAVESCOT?
Greaves Cotton is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GREAVESCOT?
High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.