GREAVESCOT
Greaves Cotton Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Greaves Cotton Limited (GREAVESCOT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GREAVESCOT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Greaves Cotton Limited (GREAVESCOT) trades at ₹195,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, Greaves Cotton Limited (GREAVESCOT) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 45.7× earnings, ROE of 8.1%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GREAVESCOT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How GREAVESCOT ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener
- GREAVESCOT's market cap of 4,549 Cr ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- GREAVESCOT's book value of ₹61 ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- GREAVESCOT's promoter holding of 55.8% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- GREAVESCOT's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 10.0% ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- GREAVESCOT's 3-year revenue growth of 8.0% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- GREAVESCOT's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x is lower than 53% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
Is GREAVESCOT overvalued? GREAVESCOT P/E vs peers
GREAVESCOT trades at 45.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
GREAVESCOT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GREAVESCOT history (3%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREAVESCOT 2027 | ₹98 | ₹190 | ₹366 | -3% |
| GREAVESCOT 2028 | ₹73 | ₹185 | ₹470 | -5% |
| GREAVESCOT 2029 | ₹57 | ₹180 | ₹568 | -8% |
| GREAVESCOT 2030 | ₹46 | ₹175 | ₹666 | -10% |
| GREAVESCOT 2031 | ₹38 | ₹171 | ₹759 | -12% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GREAVESCOT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GREAVESCOT
- Greaves Cotton Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹568.
The bear case & risks
- GREAVESCOT's P/E of 45.7x is lower than 29% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- GREAVESCOT's return on equity of 8.1% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹57.
GREAVESCOT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years GREAVESCOT compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹98-₹366, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GREAVESCOT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GREAVESCOT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GREAVESCOT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GREAVESCOT price target & forecast page.
GREAVESCOT Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GREAVESCOT scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
GREAVESCOT MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GREAVESCOT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 37.77% | 2.6× |
| Zerodha | 37.73% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Dhan | 37.73% | 2.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 37.74% | 2.6× |
| Paytm Money | 47.77% | 2.1× |
| Pocketful | 36.76% | 2.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 37.73% | 2.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 38.00% | 2.6× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 36.49% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the GREAVESCOT MTF page.
About Greaves Cotton Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Greaves Cotton Limited (GREAVESCOT) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,549 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the GREAVESCOT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Greaves Cotton Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GREAVESCOT analysis, FAQs
Is Greaves Cotton Limited (GREAVESCOT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Greaves Cotton Limited (GREAVESCOT) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 45.7× earnings, ROE of 8.1%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GREAVESCOT overvalued or undervalued?
GREAVESCOT trades at 45.7× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the GREAVESCOT share price target for 2031?
GREAVESCOT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹171, with an 80% range of ₹38-₹759 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GREAVESCOT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GREAVESCOT reaching ₹389 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for GREAVESCOT?
Greaves Cotton Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GREAVESCOT?
GREAVESCOT's P/E of 45.7x is lower than 29% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. GREAVESCOT's return on equity of 8.1% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.