GREENLAM
Greenlam Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Greenlam Industries (GREENLAM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GREENLAM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Greenlam Industries (GREENLAM) trades at ₹255,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.
On the numbers, Greenlam Industries (GREENLAM) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 111.0× earnings, ROE of 5.1%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GREENLAM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GREENLAM overvalued? GREENLAM P/E vs its sector
GREENLAM's P/E of 111.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.16% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GREENLAM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GREENLAM history (-10%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREENLAM 2027 | ₹127 | ₹211 | ₹351 | -16% |
| GREENLAM 2028 | ₹87 | ₹179 | ₹360 | -29% |
| GREENLAM 2029 | ₹62 | ₹149 | ₹356 | -41% |
| GREENLAM 2030 | ₹46 | ₹125 | ₹336 | -50% |
| GREENLAM 2031 | ₹34 | ₹105 | ₹318 | -59% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GREENLAM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GREENLAM
- Greenlam Industries is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹356.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 111.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 5.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹62.
GREENLAM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GREENLAM compounded at -10%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹127–₹351, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GREENLAM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GREENLAM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GREENLAM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GREENLAM price target & forecast page.
GREENLAM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GREENLAM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GREENLAM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GREENLAM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 50.0% | 2.0× |
| Dhan | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the GREENLAM MTF page.
GREENLAM vs peers,sector comparison
About Greenlam Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Greenlam Industries (GREENLAM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,538 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GREENLAM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Greenlam Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GREENLAM analysis, FAQs
Is Greenlam Industries (GREENLAM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Greenlam Industries (GREENLAM) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 111.0× earnings, ROE of 5.1%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GREENLAM overvalued or undervalued?
GREENLAM trades at 111.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GREENLAM share price target for 2031?
GREENLAM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹105, with an 80% range of ₹34–₹318 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GREENLAM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GREENLAM reaching ₹505 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for GREENLAM?
Greenlam Industries is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GREENLAM?
A rich 111.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 5.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price.