Case study

GREENLAM

Greenlam Industries Limited

Tread carefully1y model +4.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

33Score

Greenlam Industries Limited (GREENLAM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GREENLAM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Greenlam Industries Limited (GREENLAM) trades at ₹274,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.

On the numbers, Greenlam Industries Limited (GREENLAM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 75.7× earnings, ROE of 5.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GREENLAM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹6,983 Cr
Current price
₹274
P/E ratio
75.7×
P/B ratio
5.93×
Book value
₹46
Dividend yield
0.15%
ROCE
8.1%
ROE
5.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How GREENLAM ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is GREENLAM overvalued? GREENLAM P/E vs peers

GREENLAM trades at 75.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GREENLAM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GREENLAM history (13%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GREENLAM 2027₹175₹286₹467+5%
GREENLAM 2028₹147₹299₹608+9%
GREENLAM 2029₹133₹313₹735+14%
GREENLAM 2030₹121₹327₹883+19%
GREENLAM 2031₹112₹342₹1,044+25%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GREENLAM goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
60%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹547 within 5 years

The bull case for GREENLAM

  • Greenlam Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹735.

The bear case & risks

  • GREENLAM's P/E of 75.7x is lower than 16% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • GREENLAM's return on equity of 5.0% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹133.

GREENLAM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GREENLAM compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹175-₹467, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GREENLAM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.5%
80% range₹175-₹467
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.3%
80% range₹133-₹735
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
24.9%
80% range₹112-₹1,044
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)30%

GREENLAM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GREENLAM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GREENLAM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GREENLAM price target & forecast page.

GREENLAM Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GREENLAM scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

GREENLAM MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GREENLAM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww33.46%3.0×
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money33.46%3.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi33.42%3.0×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST33.14%3.0×

Compare every broker on the GREENLAM MTF page.

About Greenlam Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Greenlam Industries Limited (GREENLAM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,983 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GREENLAM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Greenlam Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GREENLAM analysis, FAQs

Is Greenlam Industries Limited (GREENLAM) a good buy?

On the numbers, Greenlam Industries Limited (GREENLAM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 75.7× earnings, ROE of 5.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GREENLAM overvalued or undervalued?

GREENLAM trades at 75.7× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GREENLAM share price target for 2031?

GREENLAM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹342, with an 80% range of ₹112-₹1,044 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GREENLAM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GREENLAM reaching ₹547 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for GREENLAM?

Greenlam Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in GREENLAM?

GREENLAM's P/E of 75.7x is lower than 16% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. GREENLAM's return on equity of 5.0% ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

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