GREENPANEL
Greenpanel Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Greenpanel Industries (GREENPANEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GREENPANEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Greenpanel Industries (GREENPANEL) trades at ₹188,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100.
On the numbers, Greenpanel Industries (GREENPANEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.1× earnings, ROE of 11.4%, a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GREENPANEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GREENPANEL overvalued? GREENPANEL P/E vs its sector
GREENPANEL's P/E of 16.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.27% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GREENPANEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GREENPANEL history (-25%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREENPANEL 2027 | ₹82 | ₹136 | ₹228 | -28% |
| GREENPANEL 2028 | ₹47 | ₹99 | ₹209 | -48% |
| GREENPANEL 2029 | ₹29 | ₹70 | ₹177 | -63% |
| GREENPANEL 2030 | ₹18 | ₹51 | ₹146 | -73% |
| GREENPANEL 2031 | ₹11 | ₹37 | ₹120 | -80% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GREENPANEL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GREENPANEL
- A 16.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹177.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 11.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 21% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹29.
GREENPANEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GREENPANEL compounded at -25%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹82–₹228, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GREENPANEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GREENPANEL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GREENPANEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GREENPANEL price target & forecast page.
GREENPANEL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GREENPANEL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GREENPANEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GREENPANEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.3% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the GREENPANEL MTF page.
GREENPANEL vs peers,sector comparison
About Greenpanel Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Greenpanel Industries (GREENPANEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,299 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GREENPANEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Greenpanel Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GREENPANEL analysis, FAQs
Is Greenpanel Industries (GREENPANEL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Greenpanel Industries (GREENPANEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.1× earnings, ROE of 11.4%, a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GREENPANEL overvalued or undervalued?
GREENPANEL trades at 16.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GREENPANEL share price target for 2031?
GREENPANEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹37, with an 80% range of ₹11–₹120 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GREENPANEL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GREENPANEL reaching ₹378 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for GREENPANEL?
A 16.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
What are the risks in GREENPANEL?
Return on equity is a soft 11.4%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 21% chance of finishing above today's price.