GREENPLY
Greenply Industries
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Greenply Industries (GREENPLY) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GREENPLY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Greenply Industries (GREENPLY) trades at ₹295,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Greenply Industries (GREENPLY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 36.9× earnings, ROE of 11.7%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GREENPLY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GREENPLY overvalued? GREENPLY P/E vs its sector
GREENPLY's P/E of 36.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.17% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
GREENPLY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GREENPLY history (-5%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREENPLY 2027 | ₹146 | ₹252 | ₹434 | -14% |
| GREENPLY 2028 | ₹100 | ₹218 | ₹467 | -25% |
| GREENPLY 2029 | ₹75 | ₹189 | ₹490 | -35% |
| GREENPLY 2030 | ₹55 | ₹165 | ₹480 | -44% |
| GREENPLY 2031 | ₹42 | ₹145 | ₹477 | -50% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GREENPLY goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GREENPLY
- Greenply Industries is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹490.
The bear case & risks
- At 36.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 11.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹75.
GREENPLY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GREENPLY compounded at -5%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹146–₹434, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GREENPLY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GREENPLY price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GREENPLY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GREENPLY price target & forecast page.
GREENPLY Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GREENPLY scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GREENPLY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GREENPLY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.7% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 35.0% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the GREENPLY MTF page.
GREENPLY vs peers,sector comparison
About Greenply Industries: sector, index & market-cap context
Greenply Industries (GREENPLY) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,685 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the GREENPLY Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Greenply Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GREENPLY analysis, FAQs
Is Greenply Industries (GREENPLY) a good buy?
On the numbers, Greenply Industries (GREENPLY) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 36.9× earnings, ROE of 11.7%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GREENPLY overvalued or undervalued?
GREENPLY trades at 36.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the GREENPLY share price target for 2031?
GREENPLY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹145, with an 80% range of ₹42–₹477 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GREENPLY doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GREENPLY reaching ₹583 (2×) within 5 years is 7%.
What is the bull case for GREENPLY?
Greenply Industries is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GREENPLY?
At 36.9× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 11.7%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.