Case study

GRINFRA

G R INFRAPROJECTS LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +4.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

G R INFRAPROJECTS LIMITED (GRINFRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GRINFRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

G R INFRAPROJECTS LIMITED (GRINFRA) trades at ₹871,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, G R INFRAPROJECTS LIMITED (GRINFRA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.0× earnings, ROE of 9.2%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GRINFRA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹8,425 Cr
Current price
₹871
P/E ratio
9.0×
P/B ratio
0.90×
Book value
₹969
Dividend yield
0.29%
ROCE
11.9%
ROE
9.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How GRINFRA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GRINFRA overvalued? GRINFRA P/E vs peers

GRINFRA trades at 9.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GRINFRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.0y of GRINFRA history (-14%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GRINFRA 2027₹622₹912₹1,338+5%
GRINFRA 2028₹547₹956₹1,671+10%
GRINFRA 2029₹508₹1,002₹1,974+15%
GRINFRA 2030₹481₹1,049₹2,288+21%
GRINFRA 2031₹454₹1,100₹2,661+26%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GRINFRA goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
63%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,741 within 5 years

The bull case for GRINFRA

  • GRINFRA's P/E of 9.0x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.90×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,974.

The bear case & risks

  • GRINFRA's return on equity of 9.2% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹508.

GRINFRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 5.0 years GRINFRA compounded at -14%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹622-₹1,338, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GRINFRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 5.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.8%
80% range₹622-₹1,338
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.0%
80% range₹508-₹1,974
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
26.3%
80% range₹454-₹2,661
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)26%

GRINFRA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GRINFRA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GRINFRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GRINFRA price target & forecast page.

GRINFRA Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GRINFRA scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

GRINFRA MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GRINFRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha29.27%3.4×
Groww29.33%3.4×
DhanCHEAPEST29.27%3.4×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Pocketful29.39%3.4×
Fyers50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi29.27%3.4×
Bajaj Broking33.00%3.0×
Share India29.33%3.4×

Compare every broker on the GRINFRA MTF page.

About G R INFRAPROJECTS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

G R INFRAPROJECTS LIMITED (GRINFRA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,425 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GRINFRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of G R INFRAPROJECTS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GRINFRA analysis, FAQs

Is G R INFRAPROJECTS LIMITED (GRINFRA) a good buy?

On the numbers, G R INFRAPROJECTS LIMITED (GRINFRA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.0× earnings, ROE of 9.2%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GRINFRA overvalued or undervalued?

GRINFRA trades at 9.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GRINFRA share price target for 2031?

GRINFRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,100, with an 80% range of ₹454-₹2,661 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GRINFRA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GRINFRA reaching ₹1,741 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for GRINFRA?

GRINFRA's P/E of 9.0x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.90×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in GRINFRA?

GRINFRA's return on equity of 9.2% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on GRINFRA