GROWWRAIL
Groww Nifty India Railways PSU ETF
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Groww Nifty India Railways PSU ETF (GROWWRAIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GROWWRAIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Groww Nifty India Railways PSU ETF (GROWWRAIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
How GROWWRAIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
GROWWRAIL is not currently one of the 2,373 companies in our live screener universe, so no percentile comparison is available for it here.
GROWWRAIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.5y of GROWWRAIL history (-13%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GROWWRAIL 2027 | ₹23 | ₹32 | ₹43 | +7% |
| GROWWRAIL 2028 | ₹22 | ₹34 | ₹53 | +15% |
| GROWWRAIL 2029 | ₹21 | ₹36 | ₹62 | +23% |
| GROWWRAIL 2030 | ₹21 | ₹39 | ₹72 | +31% |
| GROWWRAIL 2031 | ₹21 | ₹41 | ₹83 | +40% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GROWWRAIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GROWWRAIL
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹32 (+7%).
- Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹62.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹21.
GROWWRAIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.5 years GROWWRAIL compounded at -13%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹23-₹43, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GROWWRAIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GROWWRAIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GROWWRAIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GROWWRAIL price target & forecast page.
GROWWRAIL MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GROWWRAIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Groww | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 26.53% | 3.8× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the GROWWRAIL MTF page.
About Groww Nifty India Railways PSU ETF: sector, index & market-cap context
Groww Nifty India Railways PSU ETF (GROWWRAIL) is an NSE-listed company. See more stocks on our screener.
How the GROWWRAIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Groww Nifty India Railways PSU ETF's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GROWWRAIL analysis, FAQs
Is Groww Nifty India Railways PSU ETF (GROWWRAIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Groww Nifty India Railways PSU ETF (GROWWRAIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GROWWRAIL overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for GROWWRAIL are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the GROWWRAIL share price target for 2031?
GROWWRAIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹41, with an 80% range of ₹21-₹83 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GROWWRAIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GROWWRAIL reaching ₹59 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for GROWWRAIL?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹32 (+7%). Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in GROWWRAIL?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.