Case study

GRPLTD

Grp Ltd

High-risk on the numbers1y model +2.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

Grp Ltd (GRPLTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GRPLTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Grp Ltd (GRPLTD) trades at ₹2,004,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, Grp Ltd (GRPLTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 156.0× earnings, ROE of 2.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GRPLTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,069 Cr
Current price
₹2,004
P/E ratio
156.0×
P/B ratio
6.00×
Book value
₹334
Dividend yield
0.17%
ROCE
6.9%
ROE
2.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How GRPLTD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GRPLTD overvalued? GRPLTD P/E vs peers

GRPLTD trades at 156.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GRPLTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GRPLTD history (18%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GRPLTD 2027₹1,148₹2,058₹3,688+3%
GRPLTD 2028₹922₹2,113₹4,845+5%
GRPLTD 2029₹800₹2,171₹5,890+8%
GRPLTD 2030₹708₹2,229₹7,020+11%
GRPLTD 2031₹622₹2,290₹8,431+14%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GRPLTD goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
55%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,007 within 5 years

The bull case for GRPLTD

  • Grp Ltd is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,890.

The bear case & risks

  • GRPLTD's P/E of 156.0x is lower than 7% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GRPLTD's return on equity of 2.5% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹800.

GRPLTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GRPLTD compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,148-₹3,688, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GRPLTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.7%
80% range₹1,148-₹3,688
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
8.3%
80% range₹800-₹5,890
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
14.3%
80% range₹622-₹8,431
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)29%

GRPLTD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GRPLTD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GRPLTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GRPLTD price target & forecast page.

GRPLTD Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GRPLTD scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

GRPLTD MTF margin & leverage across 2 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GRPLTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 2 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST36.36%2.8×

Compare every broker on the GRPLTD MTF page.

About Grp Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context

Grp Ltd (GRPLTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,069 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GRPLTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Grp Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GRPLTD analysis, FAQs

Is Grp Ltd (GRPLTD) a good buy?

On the numbers, Grp Ltd (GRPLTD) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 156.0× earnings, ROE of 2.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GRPLTD overvalued or undervalued?

GRPLTD trades at 156.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GRPLTD share price target for 2031?

GRPLTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,290, with an 80% range of ₹622-₹8,431 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GRPLTD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GRPLTD reaching ₹4,007 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for GRPLTD?

Grp Ltd is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in GRPLTD?

GRPLTD's P/E of 156.0x is lower than 7% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GRPLTD's return on equity of 2.5% ranks in the 21st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GRPLTD