GSFC
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (GSFC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GSFC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.
On the numbers, Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (GSFC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GSFC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GSFC history (-20%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSFC 2027 | ₹85 | ₹129 | ₹193 | -22% |
| GSFC 2028 | ₹57 | ₹100 | ₹181 | -40% |
| GSFC 2029 | ₹39 | ₹79 | ₹161 | -53% |
| GSFC 2030 | ₹27 | ₹61 | ₹140 | -63% |
| GSFC 2031 | ₹19 | ₹48 | ₹119 | -71% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GSFC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GSFC
- Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹161.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 21% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹39.
GSFC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GSFC compounded at -20%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹85–₹193, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GSFC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GSFC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GSFC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GSFC price target & forecast page.
GSFC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GSFC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the GSFC MTF page.
GSFC vs peers,sector comparison
About Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals: sector, index & market-cap context
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (GSFC) is an NSE-listed company.
How the GSFC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GSFC analysis, FAQs
Is Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (GSFC) a good buy?
On the numbers, Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals (GSFC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GSFC overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for GSFC are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the GSFC share price target for 2031?
GSFC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹48, with an 80% range of ₹19–₹119 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GSFC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GSFC reaching ₹331 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for GSFC?
Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in GSFC?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 21% chance of finishing above today's price.