Case study

GTPL

GTPL HATHWAY LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +2.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

37Score

GTPL HATHWAY LIMITED (GTPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GTPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

GTPL HATHWAY LIMITED (GTPL) trades at ₹60,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100.

On the numbers, GTPL HATHWAY LIMITED (GTPL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing expensive at 84.3× earnings, ROE of 1.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GTPL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹672 Cr
Current price
₹60
P/E ratio
84.3×
P/B ratio
0.59×
Book value
₹102
Dividend yield
3.35%
ROCE
3.4%
ROE
1.4%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How GTPL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GTPL overvalued? GTPL P/E vs peers

GTPL trades at 84.3× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GTPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.9y of GTPL history (-12%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GTPL 2027₹38₹61₹98+2%
GTPL 2028₹32₹63₹122+5%
GTPL 2029₹28₹64₹145+7%
GTPL 2030₹26₹66₹168+10%
GTPL 2031₹23₹67₹193+12%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GTPL goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹120 within 5 years

The bull case for GTPL

  • Low price-to-book of 0.59×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • GTPL's dividend yield of 3.4% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹145.

The bear case & risks

  • GTPL's P/E of 84.3x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GTPL's return on equity of 1.4% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹28.

GTPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.9 years GTPL compounded at -12%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹38-₹98, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GTPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.9 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.3%
80% range₹38-₹98
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.2%
80% range₹28-₹145
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
12.3%
80% range₹23-₹193
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)24%

GTPL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GTPL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GTPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GTPL price target & forecast page.

GTPL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GTPL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

GTPL MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GTPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Dhan50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.28%3.0×
Bajaj Broking45.00%2.2×
Share India33.44%3.0×

Compare every broker on the GTPL MTF page.

About GTPL HATHWAY LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

GTPL HATHWAY LIMITED (GTPL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹672 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GTPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GTPL HATHWAY LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GTPL analysis, FAQs

Is GTPL HATHWAY LIMITED (GTPL) a good buy?

On the numbers, GTPL HATHWAY LIMITED (GTPL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 37/100, weighing expensive at 84.3× earnings, ROE of 1.4%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GTPL overvalued or undervalued?

GTPL trades at 84.3× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GTPL share price target for 2031?

GTPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹67, with an 80% range of ₹23-₹193 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GTPL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GTPL reaching ₹120 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for GTPL?

Low price-to-book of 0.59×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. GTPL's dividend yield of 3.4% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GTPL?

GTPL's P/E of 84.3x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GTPL's return on equity of 1.4% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on GTPL