Case study

GUJALKALI

GUJALKALI

High-risk on the numbers1y model -15.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

GUJALKALI (GUJALKALI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GUJALKALI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

GUJALKALI (GUJALKALI) trades at ₹655,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, GUJALKALI (GUJALKALI) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 707.0× earnings, ROE of -0.0%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GUJALKALI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,804 Cr
Current price
₹655
P/E ratio
707.0×
P/B ratio
0.93×
Book value
₹707
Dividend yield
2.41%
ROCE
1.4%
ROE
-0.0%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is GUJALKALI overvalued? GUJALKALI P/E vs its sector

GUJALKALI's P/E of 707.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.41% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.

GUJALKALI P/E
707.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
GUJALKALI div yield
2.41%
Peer median yield
1.67%

GUJALKALI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GUJALKALI history (-11%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GUJALKALI 2027₹332₹540₹872-16%
GUJALKALI 2028₹230₹453₹895-29%
GUJALKALI 2029₹165₹381₹873-40%
GUJALKALI 2030₹122₹320₹815-50%
GUJALKALI 2031₹92₹267₹762-58%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GUJALKALI goes up, or doubles?

33%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
14%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
3%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,277 within 5 years

The bull case for GUJALKALI

  • Low price-to-book of 0.93×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Pays a 2.4% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹873.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 707.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹165.

GUJALKALI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years GUJALKALI compounded at -11%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹332₹872, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GUJALKALI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
15.5%
80% range₹332–₹872
P(price ↑)33%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
40.4%
80% range₹165–₹873
P(price ↑)21%
P(price 2×)3%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
58.3%
80% range₹92–₹762
P(price ↑)14%
P(price 2×)3%

GUJALKALI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GUJALKALI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GUJALKALI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GUJALKALI price target & forecast page.

GUJALKALI Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GUJALKALI scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

GUJALKALI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GUJALKALI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.2%2.9×

Compare every broker on the GUJALKALI MTF page.

GUJALKALI vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GUJALKALI (this stock)707.0×2.41%₹4,804 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About GUJALKALI: sector, index & market-cap context

GUJALKALI (GUJALKALI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,804 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the GUJALKALI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GUJALKALI's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GUJALKALI analysis, FAQs

Is GUJALKALI (GUJALKALI) a good buy?

On the numbers, GUJALKALI (GUJALKALI) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 707.0× earnings, ROE of -0.0%, a 33% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GUJALKALI overvalued or undervalued?

GUJALKALI trades at 707.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the GUJALKALI share price target for 2031?

GUJALKALI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹267, with an 80% range of ₹92₹762 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GUJALKALI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GUJALKALI reaching ₹1,277 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.

What is the bull case for GUJALKALI?

Low price-to-book of 0.93×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. Pays a 2.4% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.

What are the risks in GUJALKALI?

A rich 707.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 33% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on GUJALKALI