Case study

GUJALKALI

Gujarat Alkalies And Chemicals Limited

Tread carefully1y model +2.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

42Score

Gujarat Alkalies And Chemicals Limited (GUJALKALI) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GUJALKALI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gujarat Alkalies And Chemicals Limited (GUJALKALI) trades at ₹674,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.

On the numbers, Gujarat Alkalies And Chemicals Limited (GUJALKALI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing expensive at 74.6× earnings, ROE of -0.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GUJALKALI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹4,950 Cr
Current price
₹674
P/E ratio
74.6×
P/B ratio
0.95×
Book value
₹707
Dividend yield
2.34%
ROCE
1.4%
ROE
-0.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How GUJALKALI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GUJALKALI overvalued? GUJALKALI P/E vs peers

GUJALKALI trades at 74.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GUJALKALI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GUJALKALI history (9%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GUJALKALI 2027₹426₹691₹1,120+2%
GUJALKALI 2028₹355₹708₹1,413+5%
GUJALKALI 2029₹317₹725₹1,658+8%
GUJALKALI 2030₹290₹743₹1,906+10%
GUJALKALI 2031₹262₹761₹2,213+13%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GUJALKALI goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,348 within 5 years

The bull case for GUJALKALI

  • Low price-to-book of 0.95×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • GUJALKALI's dividend yield of 2.3% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,658.

The bear case & risks

  • GUJALKALI's P/E of 74.6x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹317.

GUJALKALI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GUJALKALI compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹426-₹1,120, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GUJALKALI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.5%
80% range₹426-₹1,120
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.6%
80% range₹317-₹1,658
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
13.0%
80% range₹262-₹2,213
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)24%

GUJALKALI price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GUJALKALI simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GUJALKALI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GUJALKALI price target & forecast page.

GUJALKALI Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GUJALKALI scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

GUJALKALI MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GUJALKALI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.73%3.0×
Groww33.87%3.0×
Dhan35.00%2.9×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money33.87%3.0×
Pocketful33.78%3.0×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST33.73%3.0×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India33.87%3.0×

Compare every broker on the GUJALKALI MTF page.

About Gujarat Alkalies And Chemicals Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Gujarat Alkalies And Chemicals Limited (GUJALKALI) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,950 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GUJALKALI Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gujarat Alkalies And Chemicals Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GUJALKALI analysis, FAQs

Is Gujarat Alkalies And Chemicals Limited (GUJALKALI) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gujarat Alkalies And Chemicals Limited (GUJALKALI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing expensive at 74.6× earnings, ROE of -0.0%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GUJALKALI overvalued or undervalued?

GUJALKALI trades at 74.6× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GUJALKALI share price target for 2031?

GUJALKALI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹761, with an 80% range of ₹262-₹2,213 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GUJALKALI doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GUJALKALI reaching ₹1,348 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for GUJALKALI?

Low price-to-book of 0.95×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. GUJALKALI's dividend yield of 2.3% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GUJALKALI?

GUJALKALI's P/E of 74.6x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on GUJALKALI