Case study

GUJTHEM

GUJARAT THEMIS BIOSYN LTD

Mixed signals1y model +21.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

GUJARAT THEMIS BIOSYN LTD (GUJTHEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GUJTHEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, GUJARAT THEMIS BIOSYN LTD (GUJTHEM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GUJTHEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.3y of GUJTHEM history (35%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GUJTHEM 2027₹238₹467₹935+22%
GUJTHEM 2028₹218₹583₹1,504+52%
GUJTHEM 2029₹220₹725₹2,341+89%
GUJTHEM 2030₹224₹879₹3,489+129%
GUJTHEM 2031₹245₹1,068₹5,054+179%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GUJTHEM goes up, or doubles?

64%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
81%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
61%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹767 within 5 years

The bull case for GUJTHEM

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹467 (+22%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,341.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹220.

GUJTHEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.3 years GUJTHEM compounded at 35%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹238₹935, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GUJTHEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.3 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
21.7%
80% range₹238–₹935
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)18%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
89.1%
80% range₹220–₹2,341
P(price ↑)75%
P(price 2×)47%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
178.5%
80% range₹245–₹5,054
P(price ↑)81%
P(price 2×)61%

GUJTHEM price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GUJTHEM simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GUJTHEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GUJTHEM price target & forecast page.

GUJTHEM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GUJTHEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST40.5%2.5×
Zerodha50.0%2.0×
DhanCHEAPEST40.5%2.5×

Compare every broker on the GUJTHEM MTF page.

GUJTHEM vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GUJTHEM (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About GUJARAT THEMIS BIOSYN LTD: sector, index & market-cap context

GUJARAT THEMIS BIOSYN LTD (GUJTHEM) is an NSE-listed company.

How the GUJTHEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of GUJARAT THEMIS BIOSYN LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GUJTHEM analysis, FAQs

Is GUJARAT THEMIS BIOSYN LTD (GUJTHEM) a good buy?

On the numbers, GUJARAT THEMIS BIOSYN LTD (GUJTHEM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GUJTHEM overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for GUJTHEM are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the GUJTHEM share price target for 2031?

GUJTHEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,068, with an 80% range of ₹245₹5,054 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GUJTHEM doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GUJTHEM reaching ₹767 (2×) within 5 years is 61%.

What is the bull case for GUJTHEM?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹467 (+22%).

What are the risks in GUJTHEM?

High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GUJTHEM