Case study

GULFOILLUB

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +1.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

68Score

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited (GULFOILLUB) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GULFOILLUB a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited (GULFOILLUB) trades at ₹1,190,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100.

On the numbers, Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited (GULFOILLUB) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 24.3%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GULFOILLUB fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,895 Cr
Current price
₹1,190
P/E ratio
15.1×
P/B ratio
3.83×
Book value
₹311
Dividend yield
1.77%
ROCE
26.2%
ROE
24.3%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GULFOILLUB ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is GULFOILLUB overvalued? GULFOILLUB P/E vs peers

GULFOILLUB trades at 15.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GULFOILLUB share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GULFOILLUB history (6%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GULFOILLUB 2027₹778₹1,205₹1,866+1%
GULFOILLUB 2028₹654₹1,220₹2,279+3%
GULFOILLUB 2029₹583₹1,236₹2,621+4%
GULFOILLUB 2030₹521₹1,252₹3,008+5%
GULFOILLUB 2031₹481₹1,268₹3,344+7%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GULFOILLUB goes up, or doubles?

52%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
20%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,379 within 5 years

The bull case for GULFOILLUB

  • GULFOILLUB's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • GULFOILLUB's return on equity of 24.3% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • GULFOILLUB's return on capital employed of 26.2% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,621.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹583.

GULFOILLUB volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GULFOILLUB compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹778-₹1,866, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GULFOILLUB price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.3%
80% range₹778-₹1,866
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹583-₹2,621
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)13%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
6.6%
80% range₹481-₹3,344
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)20%

GULFOILLUB price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GULFOILLUB simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GULFOILLUB hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GULFOILLUB price target & forecast page.

GULFOILLUB Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GULFOILLUB scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

GULFOILLUB MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GULFOILLUB with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha30.98%3.2×
Groww31.02%3.2×
Dhan30.98%3.2×
Kotak Neo34.97%2.9×
Paytm Money31.12%3.2×
PocketfulCHEAPEST30.77%3.2×
Anand Rathi30.98%3.2×
Bajaj Broking40.00%2.5×
Share India30.93%3.2×

Compare every broker on the GULFOILLUB MTF page.

About Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited (GULFOILLUB) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,895 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GULFOILLUB Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GULFOILLUB analysis, FAQs

Is Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited (GULFOILLUB) a good buy?

On the numbers, Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited (GULFOILLUB) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 68/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 24.3%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GULFOILLUB overvalued or undervalued?

GULFOILLUB trades at 15.1× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GULFOILLUB share price target for 2031?

GULFOILLUB's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,268, with an 80% range of ₹481-₹3,344 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GULFOILLUB doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GULFOILLUB reaching ₹2,379 (2×) within 5 years is 20%.

What is the bull case for GULFOILLUB?

GULFOILLUB's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. GULFOILLUB's return on equity of 24.3% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. GULFOILLUB's return on capital employed of 26.2% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GULFOILLUB?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on GULFOILLUB