Case study

GVPIL

Ge Power India Limited

Worth a closer look1y model -5.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

63Score

Ge Power India Limited (GVPIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GVPIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Ge Power India Limited (GVPIL) trades at ₹763,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.

On the numbers, Ge Power India Limited (GVPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.4× earnings, ROE of 62.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GVPIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,129 Cr
Current price
₹763
P/E ratio
18.4×
P/B ratio
8.81×
Book value
₹87
Dividend yield
0.92%
ROCE
82.0%
ROE
62.2%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How GVPIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GVPIL overvalued? GVPIL P/E vs peers

GVPIL trades at 18.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

GVPIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GVPIL history (2%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GVPIL 2027₹358₹721₹1,455-5%
GVPIL 2028₹248₹682₹1,875-11%
GVPIL 2029₹187₹645₹2,221-15%
GVPIL 2030₹147₹610₹2,534-20%
GVPIL 2031₹120₹577₹2,764-24%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GVPIL goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
42%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
22%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,526 within 5 years

The bull case for GVPIL

  • GVPIL's P/E of 18.4x is lower than 66% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GVPIL's return on equity of 62.2% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GVPIL's return on capital employed of 82.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,221.

The bear case & risks

  • A steep 8.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹187.

GVPIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GVPIL compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹358-₹1,455, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GVPIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.4%
80% range₹358-₹1,455
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
15.5%
80% range₹187-₹2,221
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
24.4%
80% range₹120-₹2,764
P(price ↑)42%
P(price 2×)22%

GVPIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GVPIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GVPIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GVPIL price target & forecast page.

GVPIL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GVPIL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

GVPIL MTF margin & leverage across 5 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GVPIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 5 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST43.75%2.3×

Compare every broker on the GVPIL MTF page.

About Ge Power India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Ge Power India Limited (GVPIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,129 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GVPIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Ge Power India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GVPIL analysis, FAQs

Is Ge Power India Limited (GVPIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Ge Power India Limited (GVPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.4× earnings, ROE of 62.2%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GVPIL overvalued or undervalued?

GVPIL trades at 18.4× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the GVPIL share price target for 2031?

GVPIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹577, with an 80% range of ₹120-₹2,764 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GVPIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GVPIL reaching ₹1,526 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.

What is the bull case for GVPIL?

GVPIL's P/E of 18.4x is lower than 66% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GVPIL's return on equity of 62.2% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GVPIL's return on capital employed of 82.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in GVPIL?

A steep 8.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on GVPIL