HARDWYN
HARDWYN
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HARDWYN (HARDWYN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HARDWYN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HARDWYN (HARDWYN) trades at ₹25,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100.
On the numbers, HARDWYN (HARDWYN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 93.3× earnings, ROE of 3.3%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HARDWYN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HARDWYN overvalued? HARDWYN P/E vs its sector
HARDWYN's P/E of 93.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
HARDWYN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HARDWYN history (6%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARDWYN 2027 | ₹13 | ₹24 | ₹43 | -6% |
| HARDWYN 2028 | ₹9 | ₹22 | ₹53 | -11% |
| HARDWYN 2029 | ₹7 | ₹21 | ₹60 | -18% |
| HARDWYN 2030 | ₹6 | ₹20 | ₹66 | -22% |
| HARDWYN 2031 | ₹5 | ₹19 | ₹73 | -26% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HARDWYN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HARDWYN
- HARDWYN is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹60.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 93.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 3.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹7.
HARDWYN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HARDWYN compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹13–₹43, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HARDWYN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HARDWYN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HARDWYN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HARDWYN price target & forecast page.
HARDWYN Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HARDWYN scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
HARDWYN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HARDWYN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 50.0% | 2.0× |
Compare every broker on the HARDWYN MTF page.
HARDWYN vs peers,sector comparison
About HARDWYN: sector, index & market-cap context
HARDWYN (HARDWYN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,233 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the HARDWYN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HARDWYN's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HARDWYN analysis, FAQs
Is HARDWYN (HARDWYN) a good buy?
On the numbers, HARDWYN (HARDWYN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 14/100, weighing expensive at 93.3× earnings, ROE of 3.3%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HARDWYN overvalued or undervalued?
HARDWYN trades at 93.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the HARDWYN share price target for 2031?
HARDWYN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹19, with an 80% range of ₹5–₹73 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HARDWYN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HARDWYN reaching ₹50 (2×) within 5 years is 18%.
What is the bull case for HARDWYN?
HARDWYN is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in HARDWYN?
A rich 93.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 3.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.